1 Department of Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment, World Health Organization , Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
3 Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva , 1 rue Michel-Servet, 1211 Geneva , Switzerland.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180276. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0276.
Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such outbreaks relies on timely intervention, ideally informed by all available sources of data. The collection, visualization and analysis of outbreak data are becoming increasingly complex, owing to the diversity in types of data, questions and available methods to address them. Recent advances have led to the rise of outbreak analytics, an emerging data science focused on the technological and methodological aspects of the outbreak data pipeline, from collection to analysis, modelling and reporting to inform outbreak response. In this article, we assess the current state of the field. After laying out the context of outbreak response, we critically review the most common analytics components, their inter-dependencies, data requirements and the type of information they can provide to inform operations in real time. We discuss some challenges and opportunities and conclude on the potential role of outbreak analytics for improving our understanding of, and response to outbreaks of emerging pathogens. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: epidemic forecasting and control'. This theme issue is linked with the earlier issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: approaches and important themes'.
尽管全球卫生系统不断努力改进,但新出现的病原体传染病仍然是一个主要的公共卫生关注点。有效应对此类疫情依赖于及时干预,理想情况下,应利用所有可用数据来源提供信息。由于数据类型、问题和可用方法的多样性,疫情数据的收集、可视化和分析变得越来越复杂。最近的进展导致了疫情分析的兴起,这是一个新兴的数据科学领域,专注于疫情数据管道从收集到分析、建模和报告的技术和方法方面,以提供信息支持疫情应对。在本文中,我们评估了该领域的现状。在阐述疫情应对背景之后,我们批判性地回顾了最常见的分析组件、它们的相互依赖关系、数据要求以及它们可以提供的实时操作信息类型。我们讨论了一些挑战和机遇,并得出结论,疫情分析有可能改善我们对新出现病原体疫情的理解和应对。本文是主题为“人类、动物和植物传染病建模:流行预测和控制”的一部分。该主题与之前的主题“人类、动物和植物传染病建模:方法和重要主题”相关联。