Department of Sociology and Criminology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802-6027, USA.
Matern Child Health J. 2019 Nov;23(11):1508-1515. doi: 10.1007/s10995-019-02778-5.
Standard survey measures of fertility preferences, such as the desire for and preferred timing of future births, do not capture the complexity of individuals' preferences. New research focuses on additional dimensions of emotions and expectations surrounding childbearing. Few quantitative studies, however, consider the influence of all three dimensions of fertility preferences concurrently.
Using longitudinal survey data from the Tsogolo la Thanzi project (2009-2012) in Malawi, this study employed logistic regression analysis to investigate the influence of young women's emotions, expectations, and a standard measure of fertility preferences on pregnancy and modern contraceptive use.
Young women experienced high unmet need; across survey waves, over three-quarters of women who desired a child in more than 2 years were not currently using modern contraceptives and over three-quarters of women who thought a pregnancy in the next month would be bad news (garnered from a measure of emotions surrounding pregnancy) were not currently using modern contraceptives. In regression models including all three measures of fertility preferences, each was significantly associated with the likelihood of a future pregnancy. The standard measure and emotions measure were significantly associated with modern contraceptive use.
Emotions and expectations surrounding pregnancy and childbirth appear to be distinct and salient aspects of fertility preferences in addition to the standard measure. A better understanding of the multidimensional nature of fertility preferences will help individuals define and achieve their reproductive goals and obtain appropriate services. Furthermore, future research should incorporate new measures of fertility preferences into surveys internationally.
标准的生育意愿调查测量方法,如对未来生育的渴望和期望时间,无法捕捉到个体偏好的复杂性。新的研究侧重于生育意愿的情绪和期望的其他维度。然而,很少有定量研究同时考虑生育意愿的所有三个维度的影响。
本研究利用马拉维 Tsogolo la Thanzi 项目(2009-2012 年)的纵向调查数据,采用逻辑回归分析,调查了年轻女性的情绪、期望和标准生育意愿测量对怀孕和现代避孕措施使用的影响。
年轻女性的未满足需求很高;在所有调查波次中,超过四分之三的希望在两年以上生育孩子的女性目前没有使用现代避孕药具,超过四分之三的认为下个月怀孕是坏消息的女性(通过衡量对怀孕的情绪)目前也没有使用现代避孕药具。在包括所有三个生育意愿测量的回归模型中,每个测量都与未来怀孕的可能性显著相关。标准测量和情绪测量与现代避孕药具的使用显著相关。
怀孕和分娩的情绪和期望似乎是生育意愿的独特和重要方面,除了标准测量。更好地理解生育意愿的多维性质将有助于个人定义和实现他们的生殖目标,并获得适当的服务。此外,未来的研究应该在国际调查中纳入新的生育意愿测量方法。