评估教育和有针对性干预措施对减少童婚的就业效益。

Evaluating the Employment Benefits of Education and Targeted Interventions to Reduce Child Marriage.

机构信息

Victoria Institute of Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

J Adolesc Health. 2019 Jul;65(1S):S16-S24. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.03.022.

DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.03.022

PMID:31228985

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study sets out to identify effective interventions to reduce child marriage, estimate their economic benefits achieved through enhanced productivity, and undertake a benefit-cost analysis of the interventions.

METHODS

We model the effects of a set of identified child marriage and education interventions for 31 low- and middle-income countries, focusing on the reduction in child marriage rates and increasing secondary school attendance and completions. These lead to higher productivity, which generates increased gross domestic product per capita. The comparison of these benefits with the costs of the interventions generates benefit-cost ratios.

RESULTS

Both types of interventions have significant effects on marriage rates for girls aged 15-17 years, which fall from 13.2% in 2015 to 5.2% in 2050. Both interventions lead to sharp increases in school attendance and secondary completion, which is 19.3% points higher by 2030. The productivity improvement is 22.7% by 2030. The average benefit-cost ratio for the 31 countries is 7.4 (standard deviation of 1.0) at a 3% discount rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The results indicate that there are substantial economic gains to reducing child marriage by specific child marriage and education interventions.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定减少童婚的有效干预措施，估算通过提高生产力实现的经济效益，并对干预措施进行成本效益分析。

方法

我们针对 31 个中低收入国家，对一系列已确定的童婚和教育干预措施的效果进行建模，重点关注降低童婚率和提高中学入学率和完成率。这将导致更高的生产力，从而提高人均国内生产总值。将这些收益与干预措施的成本进行比较，得出收益成本比。

结果

这两种干预措施都对 15-17 岁女孩的结婚率产生了重大影响，使 2015 年的结婚率从 13.2%降至 2050 年的 5.2%。两种干预措施都导致入学率和中学完成率大幅提高，到 2030 年提高 19.3 个百分点。到 2030 年，生产力提高 22.7%。在 3%的贴现率下，31 个国家的平均收益成本比为 7.4（标准差为 1.0）。