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中国大陆儿童肺炎球菌性脑膜炎患者的预后因素:一项回顾性多中心研究。

Prognostic factors in pediatric pneumococcal meningitis patients in mainland China: a retrospective multicenter study.

作者信息

Wang Caiyun, Xu Hongmei, Deng Jikui, Yu Hui, Chen Yiping, Wang Shifu, Huang Weichun, Hao Jianhua, Wang Chun, Deng Huiling, Chen Yinghu

机构信息

Infection Disease Department, The Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310052, People's Republic of China.

Infection Disease Department, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400014, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Infect Drug Resist. 2019 Jun 7;12:1501-1512. doi: 10.2147/IDR.S193671. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

Prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis (PM) remains very poor, especially in less developed countries. Currently, few multi-centric studies on pediatric PM have been reported in mainland China. This study aimed to explore the correlation of clinical and laboratory findings with complications and prognosis in pediatric PM. The pediatric PM patients were retrospectively recruited from ten pediatric tertiary hospitals across China between January 2013 and June 2018. Clinical, biochemical, and microbiological data and follow-up information were collected. Predictive factors for complications and prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and sequelae-free survival (SFS) were analyzed. A total of 132 pediatric PM patients were included. Seventy-one patients had complications, 25 patients died, and 39 patients had neurological sequelae. Multivariate logistic regression suggested that age less than 28 months (adjusted OR=2.654, 95%CI=1.067-6.600, =0.036) and lower white blood cells in blood (aOR=3.169, 95%CI=1.395-7.202, =0.006) were associated with high risk of complications. Multivariate Cox's proportional hazard regression suggested that age less than 28 months (aHR=6.479, 95%CI=1.153-36.404, =0.034), coma (aHR=9.808, 95%CI=2.802-34.323, =0.000), and non-adjuvant steroid therapy (aHR=4.768 95%CI=1.946-11.678, =0.001) were independent prognostic factors for poor OS; coma (aHR=5.841, 95%CI=2.652-12.864, =0.000), septic shock on admission (aHR=2.949, 95%CI=1.049-8.290, =0.040), and lower glucose level in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) (aHR=2.523, 95%CI=1.336-4.765, =0.004) were independent prognostic factors for poor SFS. Age, coma, and adjuvant steroid therapy were independent factors for OS, while coma, septic shock on admission, and lower glucose level in CSF were independent factors for SFS in pediatric PM patients. These factors might be used to identify PM patients with poor prognosis and guide individual treatment.

摘要

肺炎球菌性脑膜炎(PM)的预后仍然很差,尤其是在欠发达国家。目前,中国大陆很少有关于儿童PM的多中心研究报道。本研究旨在探讨儿童PM的临床和实验室检查结果与并发症及预后的相关性。2013年1月至2018年6月期间,从中国十家儿科三级医院回顾性招募儿童PM患者。收集临床、生化、微生物学数据及随访信息。分析并发症的预测因素以及总生存(OS)和无后遗症生存(SFS)的预后因素。共纳入132例儿童PM患者。71例患者出现并发症,25例患者死亡,39例患者有神经后遗症。多因素逻辑回归分析显示,年龄小于28个月(校正OR=2.654,95%CI=1.067-6.600,P=0.036)和血液中白细胞计数较低(校正OR=3.169,95%CI=1.395-7.202,P=0.006)与并发症高风险相关。多因素Cox比例风险回归分析显示,年龄小于28个月(校正HR=6.479,95%CI=1.153-36.404,P=0.034)、昏迷(校正HR=9.808,95%CI=2.802-34.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d495/6560191/80af72bdaac3/IDR-12-1501-g0001.jpg

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