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海洋预报和渔业安全:提高预报与捕捞者需求的契合度。

Marine Forecasting and Fishing Safety: Improving the Fit between Forecasts and Harvester Needs.

机构信息

Department of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, Canada.

SafetyNet Centre for Occupational Health and Safety Research, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, Canada.

出版信息

J Agromedicine. 2019 Oct;24(4):324-332. doi: 10.1080/1059924X.2019.1639576. Epub 2019 Jul 11.

Abstract

: Weather is a key source of marine risk, but relationships between fishing activity, safety, and weather remain poorly understood. Critically, the fit between available marine forecast products, fish harvesters' needs, and harvester's decision-making processes has not been rigorously assessed. This paper addresses these gaps by documenting a) weather-related decision-making by harvesters, and its relationship to forecasts across multiple regions and fisheries on Canada's East coast (Newfoundland) and b) the dynamics of forecast production priorities.: A multi-disciplinary, community-engaged research approach, conducted in partnership with the Newfoundland and Labrador Fish Harvesting Safety Association (NL-FHSA). Data consist of semi-structured interviews with fish harvesters and weather forecasters, focused on marine forecast production and use.: Results emphasize that there is a subjective "art" to both production and use of marine forecasts. Forecasters and harvesters share several common values regarding forecasts, but different emphases: forecasters favor some combination of accuracy, consistency, and utility, while harvesters are largely concerned with utility. Finally, harvesters' decision-making is based on nuanced and contextual interpretations of a few key hazards (winds and, to a lesser extent, waves).: This community-engaged research has triggered experimentation with forecasts tailored to fisheries utility within Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). It lays the groundwork for ongoing, mutually beneficial dialogue between forecasters and harvesters, engaging harvesters with the forecasting process while familiarizing forecasters with harvester's decision-making processes. Ongoing industry partnerships (NL-FHSA) continue to sustain momentum from this study towards further enhancing the utility of future marine forecasts for small-scale harvesters.

摘要

天气是海洋风险的一个关键来源,但渔业活动、安全和天气之间的关系仍未被充分了解。关键是,可用的海洋预报产品与渔民的需求以及渔民的决策过程之间的契合度尚未经过严格评估。本文通过记录以下内容来解决这些差距:a)加拿大东海岸(纽芬兰)多个地区和渔业中渔民与天气相关的决策及其与预报之间的关系;b)海洋预报制作优先级的动态。本研究采用多学科、社区参与的研究方法,与纽芬兰和拉布拉多渔业收获安全协会(NL-FHSA)合作进行。数据包括对渔民和天气预报员进行的半结构化访谈,重点是海洋预报的制作和使用。结果强调,制作和使用海洋预报都存在主观的“艺术”成分。天气预报员和渔民在预报方面有一些共同的价值观,但侧重点不同:天气预报员重视准确性、一致性和实用性的某种组合,而渔民则主要关注实用性。最后,渔民的决策是基于对几个关键危险(风和,在较小程度上,海浪)的细微和上下文的解释。这项社区参与的研究引发了加拿大环境部(ECCC)针对渔业实用性定制预报的实验。它为天气预报员和渔民之间正在进行的、互利的对话奠定了基础,使渔民参与到预报过程中,同时使天气预报员熟悉渔民的决策过程。持续的行业伙伴关系(NL-FHSA)继续保持着本研究的势头,以进一步提高未来海洋预报对小规模渔民的实用性。

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