Physical Activity and Sport Sciences, Technical University of Madrid , Madrid , Spain.
CIDESD, Research Center in Sports Sciences, Health Sciences and Human Development, Department of Sport Sciences, University of Beira Interior , Covilhã , Portugal.
J Sports Sci. 2019 Nov;37(21):2443-2451. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2019.1640567. Epub 2019 Jul 13.
The aim of this study was to identify the importance and meaning of goals using the goalkeeper as an outfield player in elite futsal according to critical and situational variables. The sample consisted of 11,446 actions corresponding to 1,325 matches from the 1 division Spanish Futsal League during the seasons from 2010 to 2015. Multinomial logistic regression and classification tree multivariate models were used to identify the best predictor variables related to the likelihood of scoring goals, receiving goals, or no goals. Results from Multinomial logistic regression emphasised goals scored in balanced matches and playing with the goalkeeper as an outfield player before the last eight minutes. When the teams were drawing or losing, finished with goals received or without goals. The classification tree results identified a greater likelihood of scoring goals when the teams were winning, in balanced matches, and within the last eight minutes. Conversely, a greater likelihood of suffering goals was observed using the goalkeeper as an outfield player when the teams were losing, in unbalanced matches and in the last eight minutes. The identified trends will allow futsal coaches to recognise the most suitable situations for achieving efficacy when using the goalkeeper as an outfield player strategy.
本研究旨在根据关键和情境变量,确定守门员作为一名外场球员在精英五人制足球中目标的重要性和意义。样本包括来自 2010 年至 2015 年西班牙五人制足球甲级联赛的 1325 场比赛中的 11446 次动作。多项逻辑回归和分类树多元模型用于识别与进球、失球或无球相关的最佳预测变量。多项逻辑回归的结果强调了在平衡比赛中和在最后八分钟前作为外场球员使用守门员时进球的可能性。当球队平局或输球时,进球或无球的可能性更大。分类树的结果表明,当球队获胜、比赛平衡且在最后八分钟内时,进球的可能性更大。相反,当球队输球、比赛不平衡且在最后八分钟时,使用守门员作为外场球员的失球可能性更大。所确定的趋势将使五人制足球教练能够认识到在使用守门员作为外场球员策略时实现效力的最适合情况。