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气象变量对伊朗拉什特心血管疾病救护车出勤的影响。

The effects of meteorological variables on ambulance attendance for cardiovascular diseases in Rasht, Iran.

机构信息

Department of Medical - Surgical Nursing, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.

Department of Medical-Surgical Nursing, Nursing and Midwifery School, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.

出版信息

J Therm Biol. 2019 Jul;83:150-156. doi: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2019.05.002. Epub 2019 May 9.

Abstract

Climate change has a devastating effect on human societies, including their economic, cultural and health conditions. Our objective was to investigate the association between meteorological variables and ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases using time-series analyses. We used a time series analysis to investigate the relationship between meteorological variables and ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases from 2010 to 2015. To examine the effect of high temperatures on ambulance attendance, we investigated the relative risk of the daily volume of high temperature attendance, the 99th temperature percentile compared to the 75th temperature percentile. Upon examining the effect of cold temperatures on ambulance attendance, or the relative risk of the daily volume of attendance with low temperatures, the 1st temperature percentile compared to the 25th temperature percentile. In 1826 days, from March 21, 2010 to March 19, 2015, there were 7051 emergency calls for cardiovascular diseases. Significant variations were identified in the monthly (P < 0.001) and seasonal (P < 0.001) distributions. The highest seasonal incidence occurred in the winter and lowest was observed in the summer. With regard to association between cold temperature and calls for ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases according to lag days, our findings showed a significant increase in lag 7 ((RR, 1.026; 95% CI, 1.003 to 1.050), lag 8 (RR, 1.023; 95% CI, 1.005to 1.041) and lag 9 (RR, 1.019; 95% CI, 1.002 to 1.036) respectively. These results suggest that the demand for an ambulance for cardiovascular diseases was higher in the cold weather and that humidity can increase this demand in the warm seasons.

摘要

气候变化对人类社会造成了破坏性影响,包括经济、文化和健康状况。我们的目的是使用时间序列分析研究气象变量与心血管疾病急救出勤之间的关联。我们使用时间序列分析研究了 2010 年至 2015 年期间气象变量与心血管疾病急救出勤之间的关系。为了研究高温对救护车出勤的影响,我们研究了高温出勤的日量与 75 百分位数相比 99 百分位数的相对风险。在研究低温对救护车出勤的影响时,或者低温出勤的日量与 25 百分位数相比 1 百分位数的相对风险。在 1826 天中,从 2010 年 3 月 21 日至 2015 年 3 月 19 日,有 7051 次心血管疾病的急救电话。在月度(P<0.001)和季节性(P<0.001)分布方面存在显著差异。季节性发病率最高的是冬季,最低的是夏季。关于低温与心血管疾病急救出勤之间的关联,根据滞后天数,我们的研究结果表明,滞后 7 天(RR,1.026;95%CI,1.003 至 1.050)、滞后 8 天(RR,1.023;95%CI,1.005 至 1.041)和滞后 9 天(RR,1.019;95%CI,1.002 至 1.036)的呼叫量显著增加。这些结果表明,心血管疾病的救护车需求在寒冷天气下较高,而湿度可以在温暖季节增加这种需求。

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