Gallegos Doris, Vergara Natalia, Gatica Luz, Castillo Carlos, Basaldúa Andrea, Guerrero Rodrigo, Bravo-Alcántara Pamela, Del Aguila Roberto, Loayza Sergio
Departamento de Epidemiología, División de Planificación Sanitaria Subsecretaría de Salud Pública, Ministerio de Salud Santiago Chile Departamento de Epidemiología, División de Planificación Sanitaria, Subsecretaría de Salud Pública, Ministerio de Salud, Santiago, Chile.
Geógrafos Asesores técnicos del estudio Comuna de Santiago Chile Geógrafos, Asesores técnicos del estudio, Comuna de Santiago, Chile.
Rev Panam Salud Publica. 2017 Nov 17;41:e47. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2017.47. eCollection 2017.
Develop a risk matrix to evaluate the ongoing risk of measles and rubella outbreaks associated with imported cases in Chile.
The risk assessment tools were developed in the following stages: preparation and approval of biological, programmatic, and demographic variables; weighting of the selected variables by a panel of experts; calculation of the risk index; specialization; and knowledge transfer.
Of the 346 Chilean communes analyzed, 34% were in the high-risk interval for experiencing a measles and rubella outbreak with the introduction of the virus, 59%, in the average-risk interval, and 3%, in the low-risk interval. The remaining percentage corresponded to communes lacking data in at least one of the 13 variables required for calculating the risk index.
Use of this tool will enable subnational teams to use their own data to evaluate the risk of outbreaks in their area and take corrective action for a rapid response to any importation of these viruses in the post-elimination phase.
制定一个风险矩阵，以评估智利与输入性病例相关的麻疹和风疹疫情的持续风险。
风险评估工具按以下阶段开发：生物、规划和人口统计学变量的准备与核准；由专家小组对选定变量进行加权；风险指数计算；专业化；以及知识转移。
在分析的346个智利市镇中，34%处于引入病毒后发生麻疹和风疹疫情的高风险区间，59%处于中等风险区间，3%处于低风险区间。其余百分比对应于在计算风险指数所需的13个变量中至少有一个缺乏数据的市镇。
使用该工具将使地方团队能够利用自身数据评估其所在地区的疫情风险，并采取纠正措施，以便在消除阶段后对这些病毒的任何输入迅速做出反应。
