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职业性接触化妆品滑石粉与间皮瘤风险:考虑潜伏期的更新汇总队列和统计效能分析。

Occupational exposures to cosmetic talc and risk of mesothelioma: an updated pooled cohort and statistical power analysis with consideration of latency period.

机构信息

Cardno ChemRisk , Pittsburgh , PA , USA.

Cardno ChemRisk , Brooklyn , NY , USA.

出版信息

Inhal Toxicol. 2019 May;31(6):213-223. doi: 10.1080/08958378.2019.1645768. Epub 2019 Aug 5.

Abstract

We previously published a pooled statistical power analysis of mesothelioma incidence in the Italian, Norwegian, Austrian, and French cosmetic talc miner and miller cohorts. Soon thereafter, updates to the Italian and Norwegian cohorts were published, providing an additional 14,322 person-years of observation. In this study, we provide an updated power analysis using the newly available information. We pooled the current results regarding pleural cancer/mesothelioma mortality or incidence in four cosmetic talc miner and miller cohorts in Italy, Norway, Austria, and France. We used the expected numbers of cases as reported by the authors and the power analysis was based on an one-sided significance level of 0.05 and Poisson distribution probabilities. There was a pooled total of 113,344 person-years in the cohorts. Although 3.0 pleural cancers/mesotheliomas were expected, there were no reported pleural cancer or mesothelioma cases in any cohort. Our pooled analysis was associated with 79 and 62% power to detect a 3.0-fold and 2.5-fold or greater increase in pleural cancer/mesothelioma, respectively. These favorable power characteristics were effectively maintained when restricting the pooled cohort to workers with a latency period of 30 or more years (observation time from first employment). The epidemiological evidence from the cosmetic talc miner/miller cohort studies does not support the hypothesis that exposure to cosmetic talc is associated with the development of pleural cancer/mesothelioma.

摘要

我们之前发表了一项关于意大利、挪威、奥地利和法国化妆品滑石矿工和加工厂队列中间皮瘤发病率的荟萃统计功效分析。此后不久,意大利和挪威队列的更新数据发表,提供了额外的 14322 人年的观察数据。在这项研究中,我们使用新获得的信息提供了更新的功效分析。我们汇集了意大利、挪威、奥地利和法国四个化妆品滑石矿工和加工厂队列中关于胸膜癌/间皮瘤死亡率或发病率的当前结果。我们使用作者报告的预期病例数,并根据单侧显著性水平为 0.05 和泊松分布概率进行了功效分析。队列中共计有 113344 人年。尽管预计有 3.0 例胸膜癌/间皮瘤,但任何队列均未报告胸膜癌或间皮瘤病例。我们的汇总分析具有 79%和 62%的功效,分别可检测到胸膜癌/间皮瘤的 3.0 倍和 2.5 倍或更高的增加。当将汇总队列限制为潜伏期为 30 年或更长时间(从首次就业开始的观察时间)的工人时,这些有利的功效特征得到了有效维持。化妆品滑石矿工/加工厂队列研究的流行病学证据并不支持接触化妆品滑石与胸膜癌/间皮瘤发展相关的假设。

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