Research Scientist, Department of Marine Sciences, Texas A&M University at Galveston, United States.
Professor, Center for Texas Beaches and Shores, Department of Marine Sciences, Texas A&M University at Galveston, United States.
Disasters. 2019 Oct;43(4):906-925. doi: 10.1111/disa.12409. Epub 2019 Sep 2.
Flood-related losses in the United States are increasing despite large-scale mitigation efforts. To offset the rising cost of floods, the US Congress passed legislation in 2014 that will augment insurance premiums to make the National Flood Insurance Program more actuarially sound. Consequently, there is interest in lowering flood-related costs to the homeowner, both in terms of premiums and damage. This study addresses the issue by integrating premium savings and damages avoided based on several mitigation scenarios. Specifically, it examines how much policyholders within a watershed near Houston, Texas, could have saved between 1999 and 2009 had their communities introduced specific avoidance-based mitigation activities. The results indicate that homeowners and communities can offset premium rises and a majority of the damage suffered through marginal expansions of such initiatives. However, the costs associated with their implementation could counter some of these savings, and hence they need to be considered in future work.
尽管美国采取了大规模的减灾措施,但与洪水有关的损失仍在增加。为了抵消洪水成本的上升,美国国会于 2014 年通过了一项立法,将提高保险费,使国家洪水保险计划更加精算合理。因此,人们有兴趣降低房主的洪水相关成本,包括保费和损失。本研究通过整合基于几种减灾情景的保费节省和损失避免来解决这个问题。具体来说,它考察了得克萨斯州休斯顿附近一个流域的投保人,如果他们的社区实施了特定的基于避免的减灾活动,他们在 1999 年至 2009 年期间可以节省多少保费。结果表明,房主和社区可以通过适度扩大这些举措来抵消保费上涨和大部分损失。然而,与这些举措相关的实施成本可能会抵消部分这些节省,因此在未来的工作中需要加以考虑。