Key Laboratory of Jiangxi Province for Numerical Simulation and Emulation Techniques, Gannan Normal University, Ganzhou 341000, China.
Department of Mathematics, Visva-Bharati, Santiniketan 731235, India.
Math Biosci Eng. 2019 Jun 6;16(5):5180-5205. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2019259.
Citrus Huanglongbing (HLB) is one of severe quarantine diseases affecting citrus pro-duction both in abroad and domestic. Based on the mechanism and characteristics of citrus HLB transmission, we establish a vector-borne model with stage structure and integrated strategy and inves-tigate the effect of the strategy in controlling the spread of HLB. By calculating, we obtain the basic reproductive number R, and prove that the disease can be eradicated if R < 1, whereas the disease will persist if R > 1. Meanwhile, we apply the optimal control theory to obtain an optimal integrated strategy. Finally, we use our model to simulate the data of the numbers of inspected and infected citrus trees in "Yuan Orchard", located in Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province in the southeast of P.R China. We also give some numerical simulations for our theoretical findings.
黄龙病(HLB)是一种严重的检疫性疾病,对国内外的柑橘生产都有影响。基于柑橘黄龙病传播的机制和特点,我们建立了一个具有阶段结构和综合策略的媒介传播模型,并研究了该策略对控制 HLB 传播的效果。通过计算,我们得到了基本繁殖数 R,并证明如果 R < 1,疾病可以被根除,而如果 R > 1,疾病将持续存在。同时,我们应用最优控制理论得到了一个最优的综合策略。最后,我们使用模型模拟了位于中国东南部江西省赣州市的“元果园”中受检和感染柑橘树数量的数据,并对我们的理论发现进行了一些数值模拟。