Environment Engineering Section, Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, Delhi, 110017, India.
Chemosphere. 2020 Feb;240:124864. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2019.124864. Epub 2019 Sep 14.
The present study developed a new step-wise approach to estimate the potential human health risk of antibiotics in binary mixture for drinking water samples for two different sub-populations. Monte Carlo simulation based uncertainty analysis was performed to reduce uncertainty in risk assessment. Human health risk assessment studies were carried out using the acceptable daily intake (ADIs) for exposures of individual antibiotics considering point of departure (POD) and uncertainty factors (UFs). The estimated ADI values were used to estimate the predicted no effect concentrations (PNECs), at or below which no adverse human health effects are anticipated. Hazard quotient (HQ) in risk assessment was calculated as a ratio of environmental concentrations (ECs) and PNECs (EC/PNEC). The study showed that the average HQs values of individual antibiotics in adult and children were found below the acceptable limit, demonstrating no possible human health risk for both the subgroups. HI values of antibiotics in binary mixture was calculated using HQ values of antibiotics. The study observed that the estimated HI values of antibiotics in binary mixture was found to be less than 1 for both the sub populations, indicating no potential adverse effects on human health. Concentration of antibiotics was the primary contributor (>65%) to the overall variance in the uncertainty estimates for HQs of individual antibiotics in drinking water for adult and children. The co-occurrence of antibiotics in binary mixture for drinking water samples doesn't possess any possible risk on human health for the studied population.
本研究开发了一种新的逐步方法,用于估计饮用水样品中两种不同亚人群的抗生素二元混合物的潜在人体健康风险。基于蒙特卡罗模拟的不确定性分析用于降低风险评估中的不确定性。使用个体抗生素的可接受日摄入量 (ADI) 考虑起点 (POD) 和不确定因素 (UF) 进行人类健康风险评估研究。估计的 ADI 值用于估计预测无效应浓度 (PNEC),低于该浓度预计不会对人类健康产生不利影响。风险商 (HQ) 在风险评估中计算为环境浓度 (EC) 与 PNEC 的比值 (EC/PNEC)。研究表明,成人和儿童个体抗生素的平均 HQ 值低于可接受限值,表明两个亚组均不存在可能的人类健康风险。使用抗生素的 HQ 值计算抗生素二元混合物的 HI 值。研究观察到,两个亚组的抗生素二元混合物的估计 HI 值均小于 1,表明对人类健康没有潜在的不利影响。抗生素的浓度是饮用水中个体抗生素 HQ 不确定性估计中总方差的主要贡献者 (>65%),成人和儿童。饮用水样品中抗生素的二元混合物共存对所研究人群的人类健康没有任何潜在风险。