Holmberg Mathias J., Ross Catherine E., Fitzmaurice Garrett M., Chan Paul S., Duval-Arnould Jordan, Grossestreuer Anne V., Yankama Tuyen, Donnino Michael W., Andersen Lars W.
Research Center for Emergency Medicine, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark
Center for Resuscitation Science, Department of Emergency Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2019 Jul 9;12(7):e005580.
Previous incidence estimates may no longer reflect the current public health burden of cardiac arrest in hospitalized adult and pediatric patients across the United States. The aim of this study was to estimate the contemporary annual incidence of in-hospital cardiac arrest in adults and children across the United States and to describe trends in incidence between 2008 and 2017.
Using the Get With The Guidelines– Resuscitation registry, we developed a negative binomial regression model to estimate the incidence of index pulseless in-hospital cardiac arrest based on hospital-level characteristics. The model was used to predict the number of in-hospital cardiac arrests in all US hospitals, using data from the American Hospital Association Annual Survey. We performed separate analyses for adult (≥18 years) and pediatric (<18 years) cardiac arrests. Additional analyses were performed for recurrent cardiac arrests and pediatric patients requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation for poor perfusion (nonpulseless events). The average annual incidence of in-hospital cardiac arrest in the United States was estimated at 292 000 (95% prediction interval, 217 600–503 500) adult and 15 200 pediatric cases, of which 7100 (95% prediction interval, 4400–9900) cases were pulseless cardiac arrests and 8100 (95% prediction interval, 4700–11 500) cases were nonpulseless events. The rate of adult cardiac arrests increased over time, while pediatric events remained more stable. When including both index and recurrent inhospital cardiac arrests, the average annual incidence was estimated at 357 900 (95% prediction interval, 247 100–598 400) adult and 19 900 pediatric cases, of which 8300 (95% prediction interval, 4900–11 200) cases were pulseless cardiac arrests and 11 600 (95% prediction interval, 6400–16 700) cases were nonpulseless events.
There are ≈292 000 adult in-hospital cardiac arrests and 15 200 pediatric in-hospital events in the United States each year. This study provides contemporary estimates of the public health burden of cardiac arrest among hospitalized patients.
先前的发病率估计可能不再反映美国住院成人和儿童患者心脏骤停当前的公共卫生负担。本研究的目的是估计美国成人和儿童住院心脏骤停的当代年发病率,并描述2008年至2017年期间发病率的趋势。
利用“遵循指南-复苏”注册库,我们开发了一个负二项回归模型,以根据医院层面的特征估计首次无脉性住院心脏骤停的发病率。该模型用于根据美国医院协会年度调查的数据预测美国所有医院的住院心脏骤停数量。我们对成人(≥18岁)和儿童(<18岁)心脏骤停进行了单独分析。对复发性心脏骤停和因灌注不良需要心肺复苏的儿科患者(非无脉性事件)进行了额外分析。美国住院心脏骤停的年平均发病率估计为成人292000例(95%预测区间,217600 - 503500例)和儿科15200例,其中7100例(95%预测区间,4400 - 9900例)为无脉性心脏骤停,8100例(95%预测区间,4700 - 11500例)为非无脉性事件。成人心脏骤停的发生率随时间增加,而儿科事件保持相对稳定。当包括首次和复发性住院心脏骤停时,年平均发病率估计为成人357900例(95%预测区间,247100 - 598400例)和儿科19900例,其中8300例(95%预测区间,4900 - 11200例)为无脉性心脏骤停,11600例(95%预测区间,6400 - 16700例)为非无脉性事件。
美国每年约有292000例成人住院心脏骤停和15200例儿科住院事件。本研究提供了住院患者心脏骤停公共卫生负担的当代估计。