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Pharmacoeconomics. 2019 Nov;37(11):1349-1354. doi: 10.1007/s40273-019-00842-0.
Economic models are increasingly being used by health economists to assess the value of health technologies and inform healthcare decision making. However, most published economic models represent a kind of black box, with known inputs and outputs but undisclosed internal calculations and assumptions. This lack of transparency makes the evaluation of the model results challenging, complicates comparisons between models, and limits the reproducibility of the models. Here, we aim to provide an overview of the possible steps that could be undertaken to make economic models more transparent and encourage model developers to share more detailed calculations and assumptions with their peers. Scenarios with different levels of transparency (i.e., how much information is disclosed) and reach of transparency (i.e., who has access to the disclosed information) are discussed, and five key concerns (copyrights, model misuse, confidential data, software, and time/resources) pertaining to model transparency are presented, along with possible solutions. While a shift toward open-source models is underway in health economics, as has happened before in other research fields, the challenges ahead should not be underestimated. Importantly, there is a pressing need to find an acceptable trade-off between the added value of model transparency and the time and resources needed to achieve such transparency. To this end, it will be crucial to set incentives at different stakeholder levels. Despite the many challenges, the many benefits of publicly sharing economic models make increased transparency a goal worth pursuing.
经济模型正越来越多地被卫生经济学家用于评估卫生技术的价值并为医疗保健决策提供信息。然而,大多数已发表的经济模型代表了一种黑箱,仅已知输入和输出,但未公开内部计算和假设。这种缺乏透明度使得评估模型结果具有挑战性,使模型之间的比较变得复杂,并限制了模型的可重复性。在这里,我们旨在提供一个概述,说明可能采取的步骤,使经济模型更加透明,并鼓励模型开发人员与同行分享更详细的计算和假设。讨论了具有不同透明度水平(即披露多少信息)和透明度范围(即谁可以访问披露的信息)的方案,并提出了与模型透明度相关的五个关键问题(版权、模型滥用、机密数据、软件和时间/资源),以及可能的解决方案。虽然在卫生经济学中,正如其他研究领域之前一样,开源模型的趋势正在进行,但不应低估未来的挑战。重要的是,迫切需要在模型透明度的附加值与实现这种透明度所需的时间和资源之间找到一个可接受的权衡。为此,必须在不同利益相关者层面设定激励措施。尽管面临许多挑战,但公开共享经济模型的诸多好处使得提高透明度成为一个值得追求的目标。