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RHEMITT 评分:预测接受小肠胶囊内镜检查的中消化道出血患者再出血风险。

RHEMITT Score: Predicting the Risk of Rebleeding for Patients with Mid-Gastrointestinal Bleeding Submitted to Small Bowel Capsule Endoscopy.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital Senhora da Oliveira, Guimarães, Portugal,

Life and Health Sciences Research Institute (ICVS), School of Medicine, University of Minho, Braga, Portugal,

出版信息

Dig Dis. 2020;38(4):299-309. doi: 10.1159/000504385. Epub 2019 Nov 19.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Small bowel capsule endoscopy (SBCE) is the gold standard for mid-gastrointestinal bleeding (MGIB). No score has been developed to predict the risk of small bowel rebleeding after SBCE.

OBJECTIVE

Creating a predictive small bowel rebleeding risk score for MGIB, after initial SBCE.

METHODS

Retrospective, single center study, including SBCEs for MGIB, from June 2006 to October 2016. The minimum follow-up was 12 months. Univariate analysis and a multivariable Cox regression model tested the association with rebleeding. Statistically significant variables were used to compute the score. The score's accuracy was tested through a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A classification tree identified risk groups. For internal validation, we performed a 5-fold cross validation.

RESULTS

We assessed 357 SBCEs for MGIB, of which 88 (24.6%) presented rebleeding during follow-up. Seven variables were used to compute a risk-predicting score - the RHEMITT score - namely, renal disease; heart failure; endoscopic capsule P1/P2 lesions; major bleeding; incomplete capsule; tobacco consumption; and endoscopic treatment. The score presented good accuracy toward the outcome (area under the curve ROC 0.842, 95% CI 0.757-0.927). We established 3 rebleeding risk groups: low (0-3 points); intermediate (4-10 points); and high (+11 points).

CONCLUSION

A new MGIB score, named RHEMITT, accurately anticipates the individual risk of small bowel rebleeding after initial SBCE.

摘要

简介

小肠胶囊内镜(SBCE)是中消化道出血(MGIB)的金标准。尚未开发出用于预测 SBCE 后小肠再出血风险的评分。

目的

为初始 SBCE 后 MGIB 建立预测小肠再出血风险的评分。

方法

回顾性、单中心研究,纳入 2006 年 6 月至 2016 年 10 月间因 MGIB 而行 SBCE 的患者。最短随访时间为 12 个月。单因素分析和多变量 Cox 回归模型用于检验与再出血的相关性。使用有统计学意义的变量来计算评分。通过接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线来检验评分的准确性。分类树确定了风险组。为了内部验证,我们进行了 5 折交叉验证。

结果

我们评估了 357 例因 MGIB 而行 SBCE 的患者,其中 88 例(24.6%)在随访期间出现再出血。有 7 个变量用于计算风险预测评分 - RHEMITT 评分,即肾脏疾病;心力衰竭;内镜胶囊 P1/P2 病变;大出血;胶囊未完全通过;吸烟;和内镜治疗。该评分对该结局具有良好的准确性(ROC 曲线下面积 0.842,95%CI 0.757-0.927)。我们建立了 3 个再出血风险组:低危(0-3 分);中危(4-10 分);高危(+11 分)。

结论

一种新的 MGIB 评分,命名为 RHEMITT,可准确预测初始 SBCE 后小肠再出血的个体风险。

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