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基于 Markov 模型的药物治疗与手术治疗腺样体肥大的成本效果分析。

The cost-effectiveness analysis of drug therapy versus surgery for symptomatic adenoid hypertrophy by a Markov model.

机构信息

Division of Medical Ultrasonics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.

Department of Otolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Qual Life Res. 2020 Mar;29(3):629-638. doi: 10.1007/s11136-019-02374-8. Epub 2019 Nov 28.


DOI:10.1007/s11136-019-02374-8
PMID:31782019
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7028839/
Abstract

PURPOSE: Adenoid hypertrophy (AH) is common among young children. Adenoid-based surgery and drug therapy could be applied for symptomatic AH patients, yet the treatment decision is difficult to make due to the diverse cost and efficacy between these two treatments. METHODS: A Markov simulation model was designed to estimate the cost-effectiveness (CE) of the adenoid-based surgery and the drug therapy for symptomatic AH patients. Transition probabilities, costs and utilities were extracted from early researches and expert opinions. Simulations using two set of parameter inputs for China and the USA were performed. Primary outcome was cost per QALY gained over a 6-year period. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were also conducted. RESULTS: The utility for the surgery group and the drug group were 4.10 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and 3.58 QALYs, respectively. The cost of the surgery group was more than that of the drug group using model parameters specific to China ($1069.0 vs. $753.7) but was less for the USA ($1994.4 vs. $3977.7). Surgery was dominant over drug therapy when US specific parameters were used. Surgery group had an ICER of $604.0 per QALY when parameters specific to China was used. CONCLUSION: Surgery is cost-effective in the simulations for both China and the USA at WTP thresholds of $9633.1 and $62,517.5, respectively.

摘要

目的:腺样体肥大(AH)在幼儿中很常见。对于有症状的 AH 患者,可以采用腺样体切除术和药物治疗,但是由于这两种治疗方法的成本和效果存在差异,因此很难做出治疗决策。

方法:设计了一个马尔可夫模拟模型,以评估针对有症状的 AH 患者的腺样体切除术和药物治疗的成本效益(CE)。从早期研究和专家意见中提取了转移概率、成本和效用。针对中国和美国进行了两组参数输入的模拟。主要结果是在 6 年内每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的成本。还进行了确定性和概率敏感性分析。

结果:手术组和药物组的效用分别为 4.10 个质量调整生命年(QALYs)和 3.58 个 QALYs。使用针对中国的特定模型参数,手术组的成本高于药物组($1069.0 比$753.7),但对于美国,手术组的成本低于药物组($1994.4 比$3977.7)。使用针对美国的特定参数时,手术优于药物治疗。使用中国特定参数时,手术组的每 QALY 的 ICER 为$604.0。

结论:在中国和美国,手术在 WTP 阈值分别为$9633.1 和$62,517.5 时,在模拟中具有成本效益。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/d67245834345/11136_2019_2374_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/5e8c109c074d/11136_2019_2374_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/4a20100b3854/11136_2019_2374_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/6e7da52e7b52/11136_2019_2374_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/4c84846343fa/11136_2019_2374_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/d67245834345/11136_2019_2374_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/5e8c109c074d/11136_2019_2374_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/4a20100b3854/11136_2019_2374_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/6e7da52e7b52/11136_2019_2374_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/4c84846343fa/11136_2019_2374_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc9/7028839/d67245834345/11136_2019_2374_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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引用本文的文献

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[2]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Transient liver dysfunction increases surgical site infections after coronary surgery.

Asian Cardiovasc Thorac Ann. 2018-7

[2]
Cost-effectiveness of community-based screening and treatment for chronic hepatitis B in The Gambia: an economic modelling analysis.

Lancet Glob Health. 2016-8

[3]
Pediatric adenoid surgery in Sweden 2004-2013: Incidence, indications and concomitant surgical procedures.

Int J Pediatr Otorhinolaryngol. 2016-8

[4]
Correlation between adenoidal nasopharyngeal ratio and symptoms of enlarged adenoids in children with adenoidal hypertrophy.

Afr J Paediatr Surg. 2016

[5]
Antileukotrienes in adenotonsillar hypertrophy: a review of the literature.

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2016-12

[6]
Endoscopic Adenoidectomy in Children With Otitis Media With Effusion and Mild Hearing Loss.

Clin Exp Otorhinolaryngol. 2016-3

[7]
Montelukast in Adenoid Hypertrophy: Its Effect on Size and Symptoms.

Iran J Otorhinolaryngol. 2015-11

[8]
ALLERGIC RHINITIS AND ADENOID HYPERTROPHY IN CHILDREN: IS ADENOIDECTOMY ALWAYS REALLY USEFUL?

J Biol Regul Homeost Agents. 2015

[9]
Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials on the role of mometasone in adenoid hypertrophy in children.

Int J Pediatr Otorhinolaryngol. 2015-10

[10]
[A comparative study on efficiency of different therapeutics methods used for obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome in children].

Zhonghua Er Ke Za Zhi. 2015-3

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