Economics, Karlstad Business School, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden; Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency, Sweden.
Institute of Medicine, Health Metrics Unit, University of Gothenburg, Sweden; Centre for Public Safety, Karlstad University, Sweden.
J Safety Res. 2019 Sep;70:39-47. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2019.04.006. Epub 2019 May 3.
Fire and rescue services Syd, in the south of Sweden, started to conduct home fire and safety checks on a large scale in 2010. The goal was to reduce the damages from residential fires.
We estimate the effects of the intervention on the incidence of residential fires and evaluate its economic effect. We use a difference-in-kinks design to analyze time-varying intervention effects and conduct a cost-benefit analysis for the economic evaluation.
The results demonstrate that fires and developed fires decrease by a maximum of approximately 6% and 8% per year (assuming 100% causality) and that the intervention has positive economic effects, with the benefits estimated to be maximum 8-11 times higher than the costs. Practical applications: The results should be valuable as input when deciding whether to implement home fire and safety checks elsewhere.
瑞典南部的 Syd 消防和救援服务于 2010 年开始大规模进行家庭火灾和安全检查，目的是减少住宅火灾造成的损失。
我们估计干预措施对住宅火灾发生率的影响，并评估其经济效果。我们使用差异拐点设计来分析随时间变化的干预效果，并对经济评估进行成本效益分析。
结果表明，火灾和发展中的火灾每年最多减少约 6%和 8%（假设 100%的因果关系），并且干预措施具有积极的经济效果，收益估计最高是成本的 8-11 倍。实际应用：这些结果在决定是否在其他地方实施家庭火灾和安全检查时应作为参考。
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