Health Services Research Unit, Singapore General Hospital, Level 4, 226 Outram Road, Singapore, 169039, Singapore.
Department of Neurology (Singapore General Hospital Campus), National Neuroscience Institute, Singapore General Hospital, Outram Road, Singapore, 169608, Singapore.
BMC Geriatr. 2019 Dec 26;19(1):373. doi: 10.1186/s12877-019-1377-7.
BACKGROUND: Stroke patients have increased risks of falls. We examined national registry data to evaluate the association between post-stroke functional level and the risk of low falls among post-stroke patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from national registries to examine the risk factors for post-stroke falls. Data for patients who suffered ischemic strokes and survived the index hospital admission was obtained from the Singapore National Stroke Registry and matched to the National Trauma Registry, from 2011 to 2015. The primary outcome measure was a low fall (fall height ≤ 0.5 m). Competing risk analysis was performed to examine the association between functional level (by modified Rankin score [mRS] at discharge) and the risk of subsequent low falls. RESULTS: In all, 2255 patients who suffered ischemic strokes had recorded mRS. The mean age was 66.6 years and 58.5% were men. By the end of 2015, 54 (2.39%) had a low fall while 93 (4.12%) died. After adjusting for potential confounders, mRS was associated with fall risk with an inverted U-shaped relationship. Compared to patients with a score of zero, the sub-distribution hazard ratio (SHR) increased to a maximum of 3.42 (95%CI:1.21-9.65, p = 0.020) for patients with a score of 2. The SHR then declined to 2.45 (95%CI:0.85-7.12, p = 0.098), 2.86 (95%CI:0.95-8.61, p = 0.062) and 1.93 (95%CI:0.44-8.52, p = 0.38) for patients with scores of 3, 4 and 5 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An inverted U-shaped relationship between functional status and fall risk was observed. This is consistent with the complex interplay between decreasing mobility (hence decreased opportunity to fall) and increasing susceptibility to falls. Fall prevention intervention could be targeted accordingly. (263 words).
背景:中风患者发生跌倒的风险增加。我们研究了国家登记数据,以评估中风后患者的功能水平与跌倒风险之间的关系。
方法:本回顾性队列研究分析了来自国家登记处的数据,以研究中风后跌倒的危险因素。从 2011 年至 2015 年,从新加坡国家中风登记处获取了在索引住院期间幸存的缺血性中风患者的数据,并与国家创伤登记处相匹配。主要结局指标为低跌倒(跌倒高度≤0.5m)。采用竞争风险分析来检查功能水平(出院时改良 Rankin 评分[mRS])与随后发生低跌倒风险之间的关系。
结果:共有 2255 例缺血性中风患者记录了 mRS。平均年龄为 66.6 岁,58.5%为男性。到 2015 年底,有 54 人(2.39%)发生低跌倒,93 人(4.12%)死亡。在调整潜在混杂因素后,mRS 与跌倒风险呈倒 U 型关系。与评分 0 的患者相比,评分 2 的患者的亚分布危害比(SHR)最高增至 3.42(95%CI:1.21-9.65,p=0.020)。SHR 随后降至 2.45(95%CI:0.85-7.12,p=0.098)、2.86(95%CI:0.95-8.61,p=0.062)和 1.93(95%CI:0.44-8.52,p=0.38),分别为评分 3、4 和 5 的患者。
结论:观察到功能状态与跌倒风险之间呈倒 U 型关系。这与活动能力下降(因此跌倒机会减少)与跌倒易感性增加之间的复杂相互作用一致。可以相应地针对跌倒预防干预措施。(263 字)
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