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通过对美国对外援助项目的监测报告和评估进行文本分析,我们能了解到哪些意外后果?

What can we learn about unintended consequences from a textual analysis of monitoring reports and evaluations for U.S. foreign assistance programs?

作者信息

de Alteriis Martin

机构信息

U.S. Government Accountability Office, United States(1).

出版信息

Eval Program Plann. 2020 Apr;79:101779. doi: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2020.101779. Epub 2020 Jan 16.

Abstract

In recent years, articles in Evaluation and Program Planning have noted the importance of evaluating programs' unintended consequences, and the need to increase our knowledge in that area. To that end, this paper considers the information that can be obtained about the unintended consequences of foreign assistance programs through an automated textual analysis and review of publicly-available monitoring reports and evaluations. Automated full text searches for terms synonymous with 'unintended consequences' were conducted of more than 1,300 monitoring reports and evaluations downloaded from a publicly-available database of foreign assistance programs. The reports identified by the automated searches were screened and analyzed to determine which had considered and/or reported about such consequences. Positive and negative consequences were identified, as were the assistance sectors and recipient countries. While this study makes available more information on the unintended consequences of foreign assistance programs, it also emphasizes the need for greater research in this area, and outlines how a future research project of this nature might obtain more data.

摘要

近年来,《评估与项目规划》上的文章指出了评估项目意外后果的重要性,以及增加我们在该领域知识的必要性。为此,本文考虑了通过对公开可用的监测报告和评估进行自动文本分析和审查,能够获取到的有关对外援助项目意外后果的信息。我们从一个公开的对外援助项目数据库中下载了1300多份监测报告和评估报告,并对其中与“意外后果”同义的术语进行了自动全文搜索。对自动搜索识别出的报告进行筛选和分析,以确定哪些报告考虑和/或报告了此类后果。识别出了正面和负面后果,以及援助部门和受援国。虽然本研究提供了更多关于对外援助项目意外后果的信息,但它也强调了该领域进一步研究的必要性,并概述了此类未来研究项目如何可能获取更多数据。

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