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诊断不确定性与美洲狮中猫泡沫病毒的流行病学。

Diagnostic Uncertainty and the Epidemiology of Feline Foamy Virus in Pumas (Puma concolor).

机构信息

Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Pathology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.

Colorado Parks and Wildlife, Montrose, Colorado, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Jan 31;10(1):1587. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-58350-7.

Abstract

Feline foamy virus (FFV) is a contact-dependent retrovirus forming chronic, largely apathogenic, infections in domestic and wild felid populations worldwide. Given there is no current 'gold standard' diagnostic test for FFV, efforts to elucidate the ecology and epidemiology of the virus may be complicated by unknown sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests. Using Bayesian Latent Class Analysis, we estimated the sensitivity and specificity of the only two FFV diagnostic tests available-ELISA and qPCR-as well as the prevalence of FFV in a large cohort of pumas from Colorado. We evaluated the diagnostic agreement of ELISA and qPCR, and whether differences in their diagnostic accuracy impacted risk factor analyses for FFV infection. Our results suggest ELISA and qPCR did not have strong diagnostic agreement, despite FFV causing a persistent infection. While both tests had similar sensitivity, ELISA had higher specificity. ELISA, but not qPCR, identified age to be a significant risk factor, whereas neither qPCR nor ELISA identified sex to be a risk factor. This suggests FFV transmission in pumas may primarily be via non-antagonistic, social interactions between adult conspecifics. Our study highlights that combined use of qPCR and ELISA for FFV may enhance estimates of the true prevalence of FFV and epidemiological inferences.

摘要

猫泡沫病毒(FFV)是一种接触依赖性逆转录病毒,在全球范围内导致家养和野生猫科动物种群发生慢性、主要是无病的感染。由于目前没有针对 FFV 的“金标准”诊断测试,因此,由于诊断测试的敏感性和特异性未知,阐明病毒的生态学和流行病学的努力可能会变得复杂。我们使用贝叶斯潜在类别分析,估计了两种现有的 FFV 诊断测试——ELISA 和 qPCR 的敏感性和特异性,以及在科罗拉多州的大量美洲狮群体中 FFV 的流行率。我们评估了 ELISA 和 qPCR 的诊断一致性,以及它们的诊断准确性差异是否会影响 FFV 感染的风险因素分析。我们的研究结果表明,尽管 FFV 导致持续感染,但 ELISA 和 qPCR 的诊断一致性不强。尽管两种测试的敏感性相似,但 ELISA 的特异性更高。ELISA 但不是 qPCR 确定年龄是一个重要的风险因素,而 qPCR 和 ELISA 都没有确定性别是一个风险因素。这表明 FFV 在美洲狮中的传播可能主要是通过成年同种个体之间非对抗性的社会互动。我们的研究强调,FFV 的 qPCR 和 ELISA 的联合使用可能会提高 FFV 真实流行率的估计和流行病学推断。

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