Longo Alberto, Campbell Danny
1Gibson Institute for Land, Food and Environment, Institute for Global Food Security, School of Biological Sciences, UKCRC Centre of Excellence for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
2Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), 48008 Bilbao, Spain.
Environ Resour Econ (Dordr). 2017;67(2):261-283. doi: 10.1007/s10640-015-9985-y. Epub 2016 Jan 7.
This paper uses discrete choice models, supported by GIS data, to analyse the National Land Use Database, a register of more than 21,000 English brownfields-previously used sites with or without contamination that are currently unused or underused. Using spatial discrete choice models, including the first application of a spatial probit latent class model with class-specific neighbourhood effects, we find evidence of large local differences in the determinants of brownfields redevelopment in England and that the reuse decisions of adjacent sites affect the reuse of a site. We also find that sites with a history of industrial activities, large sites, and sites that are located in the poorest and bleakest areas of cities and regions of England are more difficult to redevelop. In particular, we find that the probability of reusing a brownfield increases by up to 8.5 % for a site privately owned compared to a site publicly owned and between 15 and 30 % if a site is located in London compared to the North West of England. We suggest that local tailored policies are more suitable than regional or national policies to boost the reuse of brownfield sites.
本文运用离散选择模型,并借助地理信息系统(GIS)数据,对国家土地利用数据库展开分析。该数据库记录了21000多个英格兰棕地(先前使用过的场地,有或没有污染,目前未使用或未充分利用)。通过空间离散选择模型,包括首次应用具有特定类别邻里效应的空间概率潜在类别模型,我们发现有证据表明英格兰棕地再开发的决定因素存在很大的局部差异,且相邻场地的再利用决策会影响某一场地的再利用。我们还发现,有工业活动历史的场地、大型场地,以及位于英格兰城市和地区最贫困、最荒凉地区的场地,更难以进行再开发。特别是,我们发现,与公有场地相比,私有场地再利用棕地的概率最高可增加8.5%;与英格兰西北部相比,如果场地位于伦敦,再利用概率则在15%至30%之间。我们建议,地方针对性政策比区域或国家政策更适合促进棕地的再利用。