Data and Statistical Sciences, AbbVie Inc., 1 N Waukegan Rd, North Chicago, IL 60064, USA.
Contemp Clin Trials. 2020 Mar;90:105955. doi: 10.1016/j.cct.2020.105955. Epub 2020 Feb 3.
Adaptive group-sequential trials incorporating mid-term design modifications, such as selection of hypotheses or treatment groups, or sample size reestimation during the interim analysis, provide efficient tools to utilize the data from enrolled patients. A graphical multiple test procedure using weighted Bonferroni test has been proposed in adaptive group-sequential designs based on a marginal p-value combination approach. Multiple test procedures using weighted Bonferroni test may result in potential power loss when the test statistics are positively correlated. This paper proposes a graphical approach for adaptive group-sequential trials using weighted parametric test which utilizes the correlation structure between test statistics. The proposed parametric approach is more powerful than the Bonferroni-based approach and preserves the familywise Type I error. The proposed approach is appealing in adaptive designs with the option of treatment selection during the interim analysis and seamless combination of the dose finding and confirmatory stage, because it can utilize the natural correlations between the test statistics resulting from comparing a few treatment groups to a common control group. Simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and Type I error. The proposed parametric approach is illustrated with a confirmatory two-stage adaptive design with a dose selection stage and confirmatory stage with the selected treatment groups.
纳入中期设计修改(如选择假设或治疗组,或在中期分析期间重新估计样本量)的适应性分组序贯试验提供了利用入组患者数据的有效工具。基于边缘 p 值组合方法,在适应性分组序贯设计中提出了一种使用加权 Bonferroni 检验的图形多重检验程序。当检验统计量呈正相关时,使用加权 Bonferroni 检验的多重检验程序可能导致潜在的功效损失。本文提出了一种使用加权参数检验的适应性分组序贯试验的图形方法,该方法利用了检验统计量之间的相关结构。与基于 Bonferroni 的方法相比,所提出的参数方法更有效,并且保留了总体 I 型错误。该方法在具有中期分析期间治疗选择选项的适应性设计中很有吸引力,并且可以无缝结合剂量发现和确认阶段,因为它可以利用比较少数治疗组与常见对照组产生的检验统计量之间的自然相关性。进行了模拟以评估功效和 I 型错误。通过具有剂量选择阶段和确认阶段(包含选定治疗组)的确认性两阶段适应性设计来说明所提出的参数方法。