Duke Clinical Research Institute and Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Alaska Heart & Vascular Institute, Anchorage, Alaska.
Department of Population Health Sciences, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
JACC Heart Fail. 2020 Apr;8(4):280-288. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2019.10.009. Epub 2020 Feb 5.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association of physical activity (PA) level and longitudinal PA trajectory with a composite heart failure hospitalization and mortality endpoint over a 5-year follow-up period following implantation.
Low device measured PA early after implantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D) is associated with poor outcomes.
We linked daily PA data from the Boston Scientific ALTITUDE dataset of patients with ICD or CRT-D implantation to Medicare claims data. We used a joint model to investigate the association of the composite endpoint with 1) the time-varying point estimate of PA and 2) the time-varying trajectory/slope of PA during follow-up.
Among 20,927 patients with median activity level 85 min/day, 14.1% and 49.6% experienced the composite endpoint at 1 and 5 years. Adjusted joint model results showed that there was a 1.13 (95% confidence interval: 1.12 to 1.13)-fold increase in the hazard of the composite endpoint for 75 min of daily PA relative to 85 min of PA; and a within-patient 10-min decrease in average daily PA over an 8-week period from 85 to 75 min was associated with a hazard ratio of 4.02 (95% confidence interval: 3.82 to 4.22) for the composite endpoint.
Patients with large decreases in PA have significantly higher risk of experiencing heart failure hospitalization or death. PA data from implantable devices may identify patients before clinical decompensation.
本研究旨在评估身体活动(PA)水平与纵向 PA 轨迹与植入后 5 年随访期间复合心力衰竭住院和死亡率终点的关联。
植入植入式心脏复律除颤器(ICD)或心脏再同步治疗除颤器(CRT-D)后早期设备测量的 PA 水平较低与预后不良有关。
我们将波士顿科学 ALTITUDE 数据集的患者日常 PA 数据与医疗保险索赔数据相关联。我们使用联合模型研究了复合终点与 1)PA 的时变点估计和 2)随访期间 PA 的时变轨迹/斜率之间的关联。
在 20927 名中位活动水平为 85 分钟/天的患者中,14.1%和 49.6%在 1 年和 5 年内发生了复合终点事件。调整后的联合模型结果表明,与 85 分钟 PA 相比,每日 PA 增加 75 分钟,复合终点的风险增加了 1.13 倍(95%置信区间:1.12 至 1.13);从 85 分钟降至 75 分钟,平均每日 PA 在 8 周内每周减少 10 分钟,与复合终点的风险比为 4.02(95%置信区间:3.82 至 4.22)。
PA 大幅下降的患者发生心力衰竭住院或死亡的风险显著增加。植入设备的 PA 数据可能会在临床失代偿之前识别出患者。