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丹麦 1943-2014 年儿童癌症发病情况及时间趋势。

Incidence and time trends of childhood cancer in Denmark, 1943-2014.

机构信息

Department of Virus, Lifestyle and Genes, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Department of Gynecology, Rigshospitalet University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Acta Oncol. 2020 May;59(5):588-595. doi: 10.1080/0284186X.2020.1725239. Epub 2020 Feb 12.

Abstract

Surveillance of childhood cancer incidence is informative for etiologic research and health policy. However, high-quality data covering several decades of virtually complete cancer diagnosis in children is sparse. Incident cases of childhood cancer (0-19 years at diagnosis), classified according to Birch and Marsden's International Classification of Childhood Cancer, first edition (ICCC-1), were identified in the Danish Cancer Registry and used to calculate age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) separately for 1943-1977 (early period) and 1977-2014 (recent period). During 1943-2014, 15,184 childhood cancer cases were reported. The ASR for any cancer was 13.0 per 100 000 person-years in the early period (EAPC 0.55%; 95% CI 0.30-0.80) and 17.7 per 100 000 person-years in the recent period (EAPC 1.16%; 95% CI 0.96-1.36). In both periods, the increasing trend was seen in both boys (EAPC 0.69%; 95% CI 0.43-0.96/EAPC 0.96%; 95% CI 0.75-1.17) and girls (EAPC 0.37%; 95% CI -0.01-0.75/EAPC 1.41%; 95% CI 1.11-1.72) and in children aged 0-14 years (EAPC 0.53%; 95% CI 0.26-0.80/EAPC 0.86%; 95% CI 0.64-1.08) and 15-19 years (EAPC 0.60%; 95% CI 0.19-1.02/EAPC 1.97%; 95% CI 1.67-2.28). Increasing trends were observed for all main diagnostic groups. The incidence of childhood cancer in Denmark has increased since the 1940s, especially since 1977 and in older children. In recent years the increase has been most pronounced among girls.

摘要

儿童癌症发病率的监测对于病因研究和卫生政策具有重要意义。然而,涵盖几十年、几乎完整的儿童癌症诊断的高质量数据却很匮乏。本研究从丹麦癌症登记处中识别了按照伯奇和马尔斯登的国际儿童癌症分类,第一版(ICCC-1)分类的儿童癌症(诊断时 0-19 岁)发病病例,并分别计算了 1943-1977 年(早期)和 1977-2014 年(近期)的年龄标准化发病率(ASR)和估计年百分比变化(EAPC)。1943-2014 年期间共报告了 15184 例儿童癌症病例。早期的任何癌症的 ASR 为每 100000 人年 13.0(EAPC 0.55%;95%CI 0.30-0.80),近期为每 100000 人年 17.7(EAPC 1.16%;95%CI 0.96-1.36)。在这两个时期,男孩(EAPC 0.69%;95%CI 0.43-0.96/EAPC 0.96%;95%CI 0.75-1.17)和女孩(EAPC 0.37%;95%CI -0.01-0.75/EAPC 1.41%;95%CI 1.11-1.72)、0-14 岁儿童(EAPC 0.53%;95%CI 0.26-0.80/EAPC 0.86%;95%CI 0.64-1.08)和 15-19 岁儿童(EAPC 0.60%;95%CI 0.19-1.02/EAPC 1.97%;95%CI 1.67-2.28)的发病率均呈上升趋势。所有主要诊断组都观察到了上升趋势。自 20 世纪 40 年代以来,丹麦儿童癌症的发病率一直在上升,尤其是自 1977 年以来,且在大龄儿童中更为明显。近年来,女孩的发病率上升最为显著。

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