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减少儿童肥胖:基于Agent 的建模方法评估干预效果。

Reducing in children: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate intervention effectiveness.

机构信息

Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin.

Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

出版信息

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2020 May;41(5):522-530. doi: 10.1017/ice.2020.14. Epub 2020 Feb 13.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is rapidly increasing in children's hospitals nationwide. Thus, we aimed to compare the effectiveness of 9 infection prevention interventions and 6 multiple-intervention bundles at reducing hospital-onset CDI and asymptomatic C. difficile colonization.

DESIGN

Agent-based simulation model of C. difficile transmission.

SETTING

Computer-simulated, 80-bed freestanding, tertiary-care pediatric hospital, including 8 identical wards with 10 single-bed patient rooms each.

PARTICIPANTS

The model includes 5 distinct agent types: patients, visitors, caregivers, nurses, and physicians.

INTERVENTIONS

Daily and terminal environmental disinfection, screening at admission, reduced intrahospital patient transfers, healthcare worker (HCW), visitor, and patient hand hygiene, and HCW and visitor contact precautions.

RESULTS

The model predicted that daily environmental disinfection with sporicidal product, combined with screening for asymptomatic C. difficile at admission, was the most effective 2-pronged infection prevention bundle, reducing hospital-onset CDI by 62.0% and asymptomatic colonization by 88.4%. Single-intervention strategies, including daily disinfection, terminal disinfection, asymptomatic screening at admission, HCW hand hygiene, and patient hand hygiene, as well as decreasing intrahospital patient transfers, all also reduced both hospital-onset CDI and asymptomatic colonization in the model. Visitor hand hygiene and visitor and HCW contact precautions were not effective at reducing either measure.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitals can achieve substantial reduction in hospital-onset CDIs by implementing a small number of highly effective interventions.

摘要

目的

艰难梭菌感染(CDI)在全美儿童医院迅速增加。因此,我们旨在比较 9 种感染预防干预措施和 6 种多重干预措施包在降低医院获得性 CDI 和无症状艰难梭菌定植方面的效果。

设计

基于代理的艰难梭菌传播模拟模型。

设置

计算机模拟的 80 张床位、独立的三级保健儿科医院,包括 8 个相同的病房,每个病房有 10 个单人病床。

参与者

模型包括 5 种不同的代理类型:患者、访客、护理人员、护士和医生。

干预措施

每日和终末环境消毒、入院时筛查、减少院内患者转科、医护人员、访客和患者手卫生以及医护人员和访客接触预防措施。

结果

模型预测,每日使用杀菌产品进行环境消毒,结合入院时无症状艰难梭菌筛查,是最有效的 2 管齐下的感染预防措施,可将医院获得性 CDI 减少 62.0%,无症状定植减少 88.4%。单一干预策略,包括每日消毒、终末消毒、入院时无症状筛查、医护人员手卫生和患者手卫生,以及减少院内患者转科,在模型中也都降低了医院获得性 CDI 和无症状定植。访客手卫生和访客与医护人员接触预防措施对降低这两个指标都没有效果。

结论

医院可以通过实施少数非常有效的干预措施,实现医院获得性 CDI 的大幅减少。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5a12/7461244/42fb3d1714db/nihms-1620190-f0001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Asymptomatic Clostridium difficile colonisation and onward transmission.无症状艰难梭菌定植及其传播。
PLoS One. 2013 Nov 12;8(11):e78445. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0078445. eCollection 2013.

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