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严重腺病毒肺炎患儿发生闭塞性细支气管炎的危险因素:一项剂量-反应分析的回顾性研究。

Risk factors for the development of bronchiolitis obliterans in children with severe adenovirus pneumonia: A retrospective study with dose-response analysis.

机构信息

Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Department of Respiratory Diseases, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders (Chongqing), China International Science and Technology Cooperation base of Child development and Critical Disorders, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2020 Dec;92(12):3093-3099. doi: 10.1002/jmv.25703. Epub 2020 Feb 28.

Abstract

To investigate and analyze the relevant risk factors for bronchiolitis obliterans (BO) in children with severe adenovirus pneumonia, a retrospective study of children with severe adenovirus pneumonia was performed in 34 cases that developing BO and 105 cases not developing BO in Children's hospital of Chongqing Medical University from January 2015 to February 2019. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors which were significantly associated with development of BO after the univariate analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to find out the cut-off value for the significant relevant factors. A nonlinear dose-response relationship between risk factors and the risk of BO was assessed by restricted cubic spline model. Three factors were independently associated with development of BO, which were length of fever (OR 1.129, 95% CI 1.033-1.234), dyspnea (OR 3.922, 95% CI 1.060-14.514) and invasive mechanical ventilation (OR 6.861, 95% CI 1.854-25.387). The cut-off value of length of fever were 10.5 days. A linear dose-response relationship between length of fever and occurrence of BO was observed (P = .57 for nonlinearity). Children with severe adenovirus pneumonia who have a longer duration of fever (especially more than 10.5 days), have dyspnea or require invasive mechanical ventilation in the acute phase are more likely to develop BO.

摘要

为了研究和分析儿童重症腺病毒肺炎后闭塞性细支气管炎(BO)的相关危险因素,对 2015 年 1 月至 2019 年 2 月重庆医科大学儿童医院收治的 34 例发生 BO 和 105 例未发生 BO 的重症腺病毒肺炎患儿进行回顾性研究。采用多因素 logistic 回归分析对单因素分析后与 BO 发生显著相关的因素进行分析,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析寻找显著相关因素的截断值。采用限制性立方样条模型评估危险因素与 BO 风险之间的非线性剂量-反应关系。发热时间(OR 1.129,95%CI 1.033-1.234)、呼吸困难(OR 3.922,95%CI 1.060-14.514)和有创机械通气(OR 6.861,95%CI 1.854-25.387)与 BO 的发生独立相关。发热时间的截断值为 10.5 天。发热时间与 BO 发生之间呈线性剂量-反应关系(非线性 P =.57)。儿童重症腺病毒肺炎发热时间较长(尤其是超过 10.5 天)、有呼吸困难或急性期需要有创机械通气的患儿更易发生 BO。

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