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环境灾难与出生结局:巴西尾矿坝溃坝的影响

Environmental disasters and birth outcomes: Impact of a tailings dam breakage in Brazil.

作者信息

Mrejen Matias, Perelman Julian, Machado Danielle Carusi

机构信息

Graduate Program in Economics, Fluminense Federal University. R. Prof. Marcos Waldemar de Freitas Reis, Gragoata Campus, Building, F.Zip-code: 24210-201, Niteroi, RJ, Brazil.

National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Av. Padre Cruz. Zip-code: 1600-560, Lisboa, Portugal.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 2020 Feb 22;250:112868. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.112868.

Abstract

There is evidence of a relationship between in utero exposure to catastrophic events and adverse birth outcomes, usually attributed to heightened maternal stress. The objective of our work was to evaluate if the breakage of a dam containing wastefrom a mining cite in Brazil, in 2015, an environmental disaster popularly known as the Mariana Tragedy, affected the health of newborns exposed in utero. We used administrative data on birth records and reports on the Mariana Tragedy to identify all births from newborns exposed in utero and the intensity of that exposure, according to the mother's municipality of residence. Using a difference-in-differences framework, we estimated the impact of different intensities of exposure on birth outcomes. We found that being directly exposed in utero to the Tragedy resulted in 1.86 days shorter gestational age and 2.6 percentage points higher incidence of preterm birth (<37 weeks). We found no impact on birthweight related outcomes. The effect is larger than previously identified for other catastrophic events. We hypothesize that this is probably due to the Tragedy impacting birth outcomes not exclusively through heightened maternal stress, but also through depressed economic activity in directly affected municipalities.

摘要

有证据表明,子宫内暴露于灾难性事件与不良出生结局之间存在关联,这通常归因于母亲压力的增加。我们研究的目的是评估2015年巴西一座含有采矿场废料的大坝决堤(这是一场广为人知的环境灾难,即马里亚纳悲剧)是否影响了子宫内暴露的新生儿的健康。我们利用出生记录的行政数据和关于马里亚纳悲剧的报告,根据母亲的居住市镇,确定子宫内暴露的新生儿的所有出生情况及其暴露强度。我们使用双重差分框架,估计了不同暴露强度对出生结局的影响。我们发现,子宫内直接暴露于这场悲剧导致孕周缩短1.86天,早产(<37周)发生率提高2.6个百分点。我们发现对出生体重相关结局没有影响。这一影响比之前针对其他灾难性事件所确定的影响更大。我们推测,这可能是因为这场悲剧影响出生结局,并非仅仅通过增加母亲压力,还通过直接受影响市镇经济活动的低迷。

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