Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
ISA, School of Physics A28, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2006, Australia.
Nat Commun. 2020 Mar 9;11(1):1258. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-14954-1.
Deforestation can increase the transmission of malaria. Here, we build upon the existing link between malaria risk and deforestation by investigating how the global demand for commodities that increase deforestation can also increase malaria risk. We use a database of trade relationships to link the consumption of deforestation-implicated commodities in developed countries to estimates of country-level malaria risk in developing countries. We estimate that about 20% of the malaria risk in deforestation hotspots is driven by the international trade of deforestation-implicated export commodities, such as timber, wood products, tobacco, cocoa, coffee and cotton. By linking malaria risk to final consumers of commodities, we contribute information to support demand-side policy measures to complement existing malaria control interventions, with co-benefits for reducing deforestation and forest disturbance.
森林砍伐会增加疟疾的传播。在这里，我们通过调查增加森林砍伐的商品的全球需求如何也会增加疟疾风险，进一步研究疟疾风险与森林砍伐之间的现有联系。我们使用贸易关系数据库将发达国家消费的涉及森林砍伐的商品与发展中国家的疟疾风险估计联系起来。我们估计，在森林砍伐热点地区，约 20%的疟疾风险是由涉及森林砍伐的出口商品的国际贸易驱动的，如木材、木制品、烟草、可可、咖啡和棉花。通过将疟疾风险与商品的最终消费者联系起来，我们提供了信息来支持需求方政策措施，以补充现有的疟疾控制干预措施，同时减少森林砍伐和森林干扰也会带来好处。
