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肝移植前住院治疗可预测移植后患者的生存:倾向评分匹配分析。

Hospitalization Before Liver Transplantation Predicts Posttransplant Patient Survival: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Campus Charité Mitte, Campus Virchow-Klinikum, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

Institute of Biometry and Clinical Epidemiology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

Liver Transpl. 2020 May;26(5):628-639. doi: 10.1002/lt.25748.

DOI:10.1002/lt.25748
PMID:32159923
Abstract

In contrast to donor factors predicting outcomes of liver transplantation (LT), few suitable recipient parameters have been identified. To this end, we performed an in-depth analysis of hospitalization status and duration prior to LT as a potential risk factor for posttransplant outcome. The pretransplant hospitalization status of all patients undergoing LT between 2005 and 2016 at the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin was analyzed retrospectively using propensity score matching. At the time of organ acceptance, 226 of 1134 (19.9%) recipients were hospitalized in an intensive care unit (ICU), 146 (12.9%) in a regular ward (RW) and 762 patients (67.2%) were at home. Hospitalized patients (RW and ICU) compared with patients from home showed a dramatically shorter 3-month survival (78.7% versus 94.4%), 1-year survival (66.3% versus 87.3%), and 3-year survival (61.7% versus 81.7%; all P < 0.001), whereas no significant difference was detected for 3-year survival between ICU and RW patients (61.5% versus 62.3%; P = 0.60). These results remained significant after propensity score matching. Furthermore, in ICU patients, but not in RW patients, survival correlated with days spent in the ICU before LT (1-year survival: 1-6 versus 7-14 days: 73.7% versus 60.5%, P = 0.04; 7-14 days versus >14 days, 60.5% versus 51.0%, P = 0.006). In conclusion, hospitalization status before transplantation is a valuable predictor of patient survival following LT.

摘要

与预测肝移植 (LT) 结局的供体因素相比,很少有合适的受体参数被确定。为此,我们对 LT 前的住院状态和时间进行了深入分析,将其作为移植后结局的潜在风险因素。使用倾向评分匹配法,回顾性分析了 2005 年至 2016 年期间在柏林夏里特医科大学接受 LT 的所有患者的移植前住院状态。在器官接受时,1134 例患者中有 226 例(19.9%)住院于重症监护病房(ICU),146 例(12.9%)住院于普通病房(RW),762 例患者(67.2%)在家中。与在家中的患者相比,住院患者(RW 和 ICU)的 3 个月生存率(78.7%对 94.4%)、1 年生存率(66.3%对 87.3%)和 3 年生存率(61.7%对 81.7%)显著降低(均 P<0.001),而 ICU 和 RW 患者的 3 年生存率无显著差异(61.5%对 62.3%;P=0.60)。在倾向评分匹配后,这些结果仍然具有统计学意义。此外,在 ICU 患者中,而不是在 RW 患者中,生存与 LT 前在 ICU 中度过的天数相关(1 年生存率:1-6 天对 7-14 天:73.7%对 60.5%,P=0.04;7-14 天对>14 天:60.5%对 51.0%,P=0.006)。总之,移植前的住院状态是 LT 后患者生存的一个有价值的预测因素。

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