Fondazione CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy.
REMPEC - Regional Marine Pollution Emergency Response Centre for the Mediterranean Sea, Valletta, Malta.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2020 May;154:111002. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111002. Epub 2020 Mar 9.
In response to the oil spill caused by the collision between the Ro-Ro ship Ulysse and CSL Virginia on 7 October 2018, the Lagrangian oil spill model MEDSLIK-II was utilized to predict spill transport and fate. Oil drift was forced by the high-resolution sea circulation provided by CMEMS and the ECMWF wind. Successive model runs were restarted 5 times with the distinct overflight- and satellite-derived observations provided by REMPEC and the Copernicus Sentinel-1 mission. The results were verified based on the ability to predict the first oil-beaching event that happened near Saint-Tropez (France) in the early afternoon of 16 October. Despite the general consistency among the runs, only the last initialization was able to forecast the oil beaching. Stochastic MEDSLIK-II simulations forced by the historical meteo-oceanographic datasets 2014-2018 revealed that the coastlines between Cap Lardier and the Gulf of Saint-Tropez were among the most impacted areas.
针对 2018 年 10 月 7 日罗罗船“Ulysse”号与 CSL 弗吉尼亚号相撞造成的溢油事件，利用拉格朗日溢油模型 MEDSLIK-II 预测溢油输运和归宿。油漂移由 CMEMS 和 ECMWF 风提供的高分辨率海流强迫。连续的模型运行以 REMPEC 和哥白尼哨兵-1任务提供的不同飞越和卫星观测结果重新启动了 5 次。结果基于预测 10 月 16 日下午早些时候在法国圣特罗佩附近首次发生的油污滩涂事件的能力进行了验证。尽管运行结果总体一致，但只有最后一次初始化能够预测油污滩涂。受 2014-2018 年历史气象海洋数据集驱动的随机 MEDSLIK-II 模拟表明，拉迪尔角和圣特罗佩湾之间的海岸线是受影响最严重的地区之一。
