Jackson E W, McGlinn S
School of Medicine, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale 62901.
Res Med Educ. 1988;27:304-9.
The traditional preadmissions variables of GPA's, MCAT scores and recommendation decisions of a group of nontraditional medical students who enrolled from 1978-1983 were examined to determine 1) the degree to which a classification model derived from the variables to predict whether they would graduate on schedule, graduate off schedule or not graduate would be applicable to a second group of nontraditional students who enrolled from 1984-1987, and 2) which variables would predict whether the students would graduate on schedule, graduate off schedule or not graduate. The discriminant model correctly classified only 33 percent of the students in the second group; the MCAT Reading score, the only significant predictive variable, accounted for 26 percent of the variance in the progress of the students in the first group.
对1978年至1983年入学的一组非传统医学学生的传统入学前变量（平均绩点、医学院入学考试成绩和推荐信决定）进行了研究，以确定：1）从这些变量推导出来的用于预测他们是否能按时毕业、延期毕业或不能毕业的分类模型，对1984年至1987年入学的第二批非传统学生的适用程度；2）哪些变量能够预测学生是否能按时毕业、延期毕业或不能毕业。判别模型仅正确分类了第二组中33%的学生；医学院入学考试阅读成绩是唯一显著的预测变量，它解释了第一组学生学业进展中26%的方差。
