Thermal Variability and Plasticity Drive the Outcome of a Host-Pathogen Interaction.

Variable, changing climates may affect each participant in a biotic interaction differently. We explored the effects of temperature and plasticity on the outcome of a host-pathogen interaction to try to predict the outcomes of infection under fluctuating temperatures. We infected crickets with the entomopathogenic fungus under constant (6°, 12°, 18°, or 25°C) or fluctuating (from 6° to 18°C or from 6° to 25°C) temperatures. We also acclimated crickets and fungi to constant or fluctuating conditions. Crickets acclimated to fluctuating conditions survived best under constant conditions if paired with warm-acclimated fungus. Overall, matches and mismatches in thermal performance, driven by acclimation, determined host survival. Mismatched performance also determined differences in survival under different fluctuating thermal regimes: crickets survived best when fluctuating temperatures favored their performance (from 6° to 25°C), compared with fluctuations that favored fungus performance (from 6° to 18°C). Thus, we could predict the outcome of infection under fluctuating temperatures by averaging relative host-pathogen performance under constant temperatures, suggesting that it may be possible to predict responses to fluctuating temperatures for at least some biotic interactions.