Department of Development Studies, School of Social Sciences and Humanities (S3H), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan.
Department of Economics, School of Social Sciences and Humanities (S3H), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jun;27(16):19638-19649. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08303-4. Epub 2020 Mar 27.
Flood is found to be a frequent phenomenon. Over the past few decades, Pakistan has been the home of climate-related disasters like floods. This paper attempts to examine the effect of floods on the rural communities; those are vulnerable to floods, and their livelihood patterns were damaged due to flooding events in Hazara Division. This research study assessed the causes, the impact, and the aftermath of flooding and their link with climate change in Hazara Division (Torghar, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, and Haripur). The significance of environmental changes and flood's threats were discovered and examined through the logistic regressions and then pathway analysis. The findings showed that floods, directly and indirectly, affected the livelihood, social standing, and physical and economic status of rural communities. Rise in poverty level is also reported in already vulnerable communities that further increase their exposure to risks and hazards. This study calls for local government strengthening, early warning systems, and (non)financial assistance in times of needs to minimize the floods risk and disastrous impacts on localities and resources.
洪水是一种常见的现象。在过去的几十年里，巴基斯坦一直是洪水等与气候相关的灾害的所在地。本文试图研究洪水对农村社区的影响；这些社区容易受到洪水的影响，由于哈扎拉地区的洪水事件，他们的生计模式受到了破坏。本研究评估了在哈扎拉地区（托尔加、科希斯坦、曼塞赫拉、阿伯塔巴德和哈里普尔）发生的洪水的原因、影响和后果，以及它们与气候变化的关系。通过逻辑回归和路径分析发现和检验了环境变化和洪水威胁的重要性。调查结果显示，洪水直接或间接地影响了农村社区的生计、社会地位以及物质和经济状况。已经脆弱的社区的贫困水平也有所上升，这进一步增加了他们面临风险和危害的风险。本研究呼吁加强地方政府、预警系统和（非）金融援助，以在需要时将洪水风险和对当地和资源的灾难性影响降到最低。
