School of Management Science and Engineering, Ministry of Education & Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CICFEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China.
Binjiang College, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Wuxi, 21400, Jiangsu, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Aug;28(30):40844-40857. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13598-y. Epub 2021 Mar 26.
Pakistan's agricultural productivity is considered to be low despite several agriculture promotion policies. Such policies concentrate primarily on on-farm development and overlook rich prospects for off-farm diversification. Livelihood diversification of small-scale farmers plays a major role in reducing hunger and mitigating the adverse impacts of climate change. Therefore, this paper seeks to analyze livelihood diversification in managing catastrophic risks among rural farm households of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan. We have interviewed a total of 600 farm households through a standardized questionnaire in two districts (Nowshera and Charsadda) of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan that were badly affected by the 2010 flood. For empirical analysis, a logistic regression model was chosen to analyze the important attributes that are correlated to livelihood diversification of the rural households in flood-susceptible areas of Pakistan. The survey findings indicate that 50% of the total sample respondents adopted off-farm livelihood diversification strategies, while 40.5% of farm households adopted on-farm livelihood diversification strategies in managing catastrophic risks. The logistic regression model results show that attributes including socioeconomic and demographic, institutional, and risk perception significantly influenced households' choices of livelihood diversification. Also, the findings indicated a wide range of livelihood diversification constrained including climatic risks and uncertainties (23%), inadequate natural resources (17%), limited level of skills and training (15%), lack of institutional support (12%), lack of credit facilities (11%), poor infrastructure including markets and roads (16%), and lack of labor availability (4%). The study urges the need for robust climate change adaptation policies, in particular, by aiming at training initiatives, improving access to services, and enhancing institutional assistance, and better infrastructure. The livelihood of small-scale farmers could only improve if the Government pays due consideration and adopts the right policy initiatives that promote the diversification of livelihoods as part of the creation of national jobs to save many lives and improve livelihoods.
尽管巴基斯坦实施了多项农业推广政策,但农业生产力仍被认为较低。这些政策主要集中在农场发展上,而忽略了农业外多元化的广阔前景。小规模农户的生计多元化在减少饥饿和缓解气候变化的不利影响方面发挥着重要作用。因此,本文试图分析巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省农村农户在管理灾难性风险方面的生计多元化。我们通过标准化问卷在巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的两个受 2010 年洪水严重影响的地区(瑙谢拉和恰尔萨达)共采访了 600 户农户。为进行实证分析,选择了逻辑回归模型来分析与巴基斯坦易受洪水影响地区农村家庭生计多元化相关的重要属性。调查结果表明,总样本中 50%的受访者采用了农业外生计多元化战略,而 40.5%的农户在管理灾难性风险方面采用了农业内生计多元化战略。逻辑回归模型的结果表明,包括社会经济和人口、制度和风险认知在内的属性显著影响了农户对生计多元化的选择。此外,调查结果还表明,生计多元化受到多种因素的限制,包括气候风险和不确定性(23%)、自然资源不足(17%)、技能和培训水平有限(15%)、机构支持不足(12%)、信贷设施缺乏(11%)、市场和道路等基础设施不完善(16%)以及劳动力短缺(4%)。本研究呼吁制定强有力的适应气候变化政策,特别是通过培训举措、改善服务获取以及加强机构援助和更好的基础设施来实现。只有当政府给予充分考虑并采取促进生计多元化的正确政策举措,作为创造国家就业机会的一部分,以拯救许多生命并改善生计时,小规模农户的生计才能得到改善。