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生物害虫防治的建模框架。

A modeling framework for biological pest control.

作者信息

Colombo Rinaldo M, Rossi Elena

机构信息

INdAM Unit, University of Brescia, via Branze, 38, 25123 Brescia, Italy.

Department of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Milano - Bicocca, via R. Cozzi, 55, 20126 Milano, Italy.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2019 Nov 26;17(2):1413-1427. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2020072.

Abstract

We present an analytic framework where biological pest control can be simulated. Control is enforced through the choice of a time and space dependent function representing the deployment of a species of predators that feed on pests. A sample of different strategies aimed at reducing the presence of pests is considered, evaluated and compared. The strategies explicitly taken into account range, for instance, from the uniform deployment of predators on all the available area over a short/long time interval, to the alternated insertion of predators in different specific regions, to the release of predators in suitably selected regions. The effect of each strategy is measured through a suitably defined cost, essentially representing the total amount of prey present over a given time interval over all the considered region, but the variation in time of the total amount of pests is also evaluated. The analytic framework is provided by an integro-differential hyperbolic-parabolic system of partial differential equations. While prey diffuse according to the usual Laplace operator, predators hunt for prey, moving at finite speed towards regions of higher prey density.

摘要

我们提出了一个可以模拟生物害虫控制的分析框架。通过选择一个与时间和空间相关的函数来实施控制,该函数表示以害虫为食的捕食者物种的部署。考虑、评估并比较了一系列旨在减少害虫数量的不同策略。明确考虑的策略范围包括,例如,在短/长时间间隔内在所有可用区域均匀部署捕食者,在不同特定区域交替投放捕食者,在适当选定的区域释放捕食者。每种策略的效果通过适当定义的成本来衡量,该成本本质上代表在给定时间间隔内在所有考虑区域内存在的猎物总量,但也评估害虫总量随时间的变化。该分析框架由一个偏微分方程的积分-微分双曲-抛物型系统提供。猎物按照通常的拉普拉斯算子进行扩散,而捕食者追捕猎物,以有限速度向猎物密度较高的区域移动。

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