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在巴西赤道地区,呼吸道合胞病毒导致的住院和死亡人数比流感(包括2009年大流行期间)更多。

Respiratory syncytial virus causes more hospitalizations and deaths in equatorial Brazil than influenza (including during the 2009 pandemic).

作者信息

Alonso Wladimir J, Tamerius James, Freitas André R R

机构信息

Departamento de Genética e Biologia Evolutiva do Instituto de Biociências da Universidade de São Paulo/USP, Rua do Matão, 277, Cidade Universitária, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil.

Department of Geographical and Sustainability Sciences, University of Iowa, IA, 316 Jessup Hall, 52242, Iowa County, Iowa, USA.

出版信息

An Acad Bras Cienc. 2020 Mar 27;92(1):e20180584. doi: 10.1590/0001-3765202020180584. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Despite numerous studies evaluating influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), there is still a lack of knowledge about them, especially in tropical countries. We compared the relative importance of respiratory viruses by examining their spatiotemporal patterns, age-specific hospitalization data and mortality data for 2007-2012 obtained from official sources. The data were aggregated into "respiratory infection seasonal zones" formed combining states that had similar seasonal patterns of pneumonia and influenza (P&I). Equatorial-North where P&I peaks in the middle of the year, Equatorial-South where P&I peaks in the first semester and coincides with the rainy-season, Subtropical where P&I peaks are clearly concentrated in the winter season, and Tropical Midwest and South-East where P&I peaks are a transition between the South-Equatorial and the Sub-tropical. Our analyses indicate that RSV has higher impact than influenza in equatorial region of Brazil, which was particularly evident during the circulation of the 2009pdm strain, and suggests that seasonal influenza may have a lower impact in Equatorial Brazil (and perhaps in other tropical regions of the world) than previously considered. Accordingly, we suggest that the broad assumption that influenza is the main cause of viral respiratory hospitalizations and death in equatorial regions be questioned with greater emphasis in future studies.

摘要

尽管有大量研究评估流感和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV),但人们对它们仍然缺乏了解,尤其是在热带国家。我们通过研究从官方来源获取的2007 - 2012年呼吸道病毒的时空模式、特定年龄的住院数据和死亡率数据,比较了呼吸道病毒的相对重要性。这些数据被汇总到“呼吸道感染季节性区域”,这些区域是由肺炎和流感(P&I)季节性模式相似的州组合而成。赤道北部P&I在年中达到峰值,赤道南部P&I在第一学期达到峰值且与雨季重合,亚热带地区P&I峰值明显集中在冬季,热带中西部和东南部P&I峰值是南赤道和亚热带之间的过渡。我们的分析表明,在巴西赤道地区,RSV的影响比流感更大,这在2009年大流行毒株传播期间尤为明显,这表明季节性流感在巴西赤道地区(也许在世界其他热带地区)的影响可能比之前认为的要小。因此,我们建议,关于流感是赤道地区病毒性呼吸道住院和死亡主要原因的广泛假设,在未来研究中应受到更多质疑。

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