School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, 1959 NE Pacific, H-375, Box 357630, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.
AstraZeneca, One Medimmune Way, Gaithersburg, MD, 20878, USA.
BMC Cancer. 2020 Apr 5;20(1):276. doi: 10.1186/s12885-020-06734-3.
To evaluate the value of new therapies for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), it is necessary to understand overall survival (OS) rates associated with previous standard therapies and how these rates have evolved over time.
We retrospectively analyzed data from patients enrolled in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry. Adults with unresectable, stage III NSCLC treated with chemoradiotherapy were grouped by diagnosis year (2000-2002; 2003-2005; 2006-2008; 2009-2011; 2012-2013). The primary endpoint was OS (data cut-off, December 31, 2014), estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Temporal survival-trend significance was tested using a two-sided log-rank trend test.
Of 12,865 eligible patients, 59.1% were male, 59.9% had stage IIIB disease, and 62.7% had non-squamous histology. Median age at diagnosis was 67 years. Overall, 10,899 (84.7%) patients died and 1966 (15.3%) were censored/lost to follow-up. Median follow-up (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 80 (77-82) months; median OS (95% CI) was 15 (15-16) months; 1- and 3-year survival probabilities (95% CI) were 57.7% (56.9-58.6) and 24.1% (23.3-24.8), respectively. Stratification by diagnosis year showed consistent improvements in survival over time (p < 0.0001 for trend). Median OS was 12, 14, 15, 18, and 19 months in successive cohorts.
OS in patients diagnosed with unresectable, stage III NSCLC between 2003 and 2013 was consistent with that from clinical studies of sequential/concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Despite improvement over time, median OS was < 2 years and mortality remained high during the first year post-diagnosis.
为了评估非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)新疗法的价值,有必要了解与以往标准疗法相关的总生存率(OS)以及这些数据随时间的变化情况。
我们对监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)癌症登记处纳入的患者数据进行了回顾性分析。根据诊断年份(2000-2002 年;2003-2005 年;2006-2008 年;2009-2011 年;2012-2013 年),将接受放化疗的不可切除 III 期 NSCLC 成年患者分组。主要终点为 OS(数据截止日期为 2014 年 12 月 31 日),采用 Kaplan-Meier 估计法进行估计。采用双侧对数秩趋势检验对时间生存趋势的显著性进行检验。
在 12865 例合格患者中,59.1%为男性,59.9%为 IIIB 期疾病,62.7%为非鳞状组织学。诊断时的中位年龄为 67 岁。总体而言,10899 例(84.7%)患者死亡,1966 例(15.3%)被删失/失访。中位随访(95%置信区间[CI])为 80(77-82)个月;中位 OS(95%CI)为 15(15-16)个月;1 年和 3 年的生存率(95%CI)分别为 57.7%(56.9-58.6)和 24.1%(23.3-24.8)。按诊断年份分层显示,生存随时间的推移持续改善(趋势 p<0.0001)。连续队列的中位 OS 分别为 12、14、15、18 和 19 个月。
2003 年至 2013 年间诊断为不可切除 III 期 NSCLC 的患者的 OS 与序贯/同期放化疗的临床研究一致。尽管随时间有所改善,但中位 OS 仍<2 年,且诊断后第一年的死亡率仍较高。