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鱼类的体型会随温度变化,但并非所有物种都会随着温度升高而变小。

Fish body sizes change with temperature but not all species shrink with warming.

机构信息

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.

Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.

出版信息

Nat Ecol Evol. 2020 Jun;4(6):809-814. doi: 10.1038/s41559-020-1171-0. Epub 2020 Apr 6.

Abstract

Ectotherms generally shrink under experimental warming, but whether this pattern extends to wild populations is uncertain. We analysed ten million visual survey records, spanning the Australian continent and multiple decades and comprising the most common coastal reef fishes (335 species). We found that temperature indeed drives spatial and temporal changes in fish body size, but not consistently in the negative fashion expected. Around 55% of species were smaller in warmer waters (especially among small-bodied species), while 45% were bigger. The direction of a species' response to temperature through space was generally consistent with its response to temperature increase through time at any given location, suggesting that spatial trends could help forecast fish responses to long-term warming. However, temporal changes were about ten times faster than spatial trends (~4% versus ~40% body size change per 1 °C change through space and time, respectively). The rapid and variable responses of fish size to warming may herald unexpected impacts on ecosystem restructuring, with potentially greater consequences than if all species were shrinking.

摘要

变温动物通常在实验性变暖下会变小,但这种模式是否扩展到野生种群尚不确定。我们分析了跨越澳大利亚大陆和多个十年的一千万次视觉调查记录,包括最常见的沿海珊瑚礁鱼类(335 种)。我们发现,温度确实会驱动鱼类体型的时空变化,但并不总是以预期的负面方式。大约 55%的物种在温暖的水域中体型较小(尤其是在小型物种中),而 45%的物种体型较大。一个物种对温度的响应方向,在空间上通常与在任何特定地点随时间增加温度时的响应一致,这表明空间趋势可以帮助预测鱼类对长期变暖的响应。然而,时间变化的速度比空间趋势快约十倍(分别为每 1°C 空间和时间变化的4%和40%的体型变化)。鱼类体型对变暖的快速和多变响应可能预示着对生态系统重构的意外影响,其潜在后果可能大于所有物种都变小的情况。

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