Mahmud Sarwat, Chemaitelly Hiam, Al Kanaani Zaina, Kouyoumjian Silva P, Abu-Raddad Laith J
Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar Cornell University Qatar Foundation-Education City Doha Qatar.
Department of Healthcare Policy and Research Weill Cornell Medicine Cornell University New York NY.
Hepatol Commun. 2020 Feb 28;4(4):577-587. doi: 10.1002/hep4.1491. eCollection 2020 Apr.
We investigated hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemiology in populations with liver-related diseases (LRDs) in the Middle East and North Africa. The data source was standardized databases of HCV measures populated through systematic reviews. Random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions were performed, and genotype diversity was assessed. Analyses were based on 252 HCV antibody prevalence measures, eight viremic rate measures, and 30 genotype measures on 132,358 subjects. Pooled mean prevalence in LRD populations was 58.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.5%-66.0%) in Egypt and 55.8% (95% CI, 49.1%-62.4%) in Pakistan; these values were higher than in other countries, which had a pooled prevalence of only 15.6% (95% CI, 12.4%-19.0%). Mean prevalence was highest in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma at 56.9% (95% CI, 50.2%-63.5%) and those with cirrhosis at 50.4% (95% CI, 40.8%-60.0%). Type of LRD population and country were the strongest predictors of prevalence, explaining 48.6% of the variation. No evidence for prevalence decline was found, but there was strong evidence for prevalence increase in Pakistan. A strong, positive association was identified between prevalence in the general population and that in LRD populations; the Pearson correlation coefficient ranged between 0.605 and 0.862. The pooled mean viremic rate was 75.5% (95% CI, 61.0%-87.6%). Genotype 4 was most common (44.2%), followed by genotype 3 (34.5%), genotype 1 (17.0%), genotype 2 (3.5%), genotype 6 (0.5%), and genotype 5 (0.3%). HCV appears to play a dominant role in liver diseases in Egypt and Pakistan and has a growing role in Pakistan. Testing and treatment of LRD populations are essential to reduce disease burden and transmission and to reach HCV elimination by 2030.
我们调查了中东和北非地区患有肝脏相关疾病(LRD)人群中的丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)流行病学情况。数据来源是通过系统评价得出的HCV测量标准化数据库。进行了随机效应荟萃分析和荟萃回归,并评估了基因型多样性。分析基于132358名受试者的252项HCV抗体流行率测量、8项病毒血症率测量和30项基因型测量。在埃及,LRD人群的合并平均流行率为58.8%(95%置信区间[CI],51.5%-66.0%),在巴基斯坦为55.8%(95%CI,49.1%-62.4%);这些值高于其他国家,其他国家的合并流行率仅为15.6%(95%CI,12.4%-19.0%)。肝细胞癌患者的平均流行率最高,为56.9%(95%CI,50.2%-63.5%),肝硬化患者为50.4%(95%CI,40.8%-60.0%)。LRD人群类型和国家是流行率的最强预测因素,解释了48.6%的变异。未发现流行率下降的证据,但有强有力的证据表明巴基斯坦的流行率在上升。在一般人群和LRD人群的流行率之间发现了强烈的正相关;Pearson相关系数在0.605至0.862之间。合并平均病毒血症率为75.5%(95%CI,61.0%-87.6%)。基因型4最为常见(44.2%),其次是基因型3(34.5%)、基因型1(17.0%)、基因型2(3.5%)、基因型6(0.5%)和基因型5(0.3%)。HCV似乎在埃及和巴基斯坦的肝脏疾病中起主导作用,并且在巴基斯坦的作用日益增强。对LRD人群进行检测和治疗对于减轻疾病负担和传播以及到2030年实现HCV消除至关重要。