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一种在考虑接近度的改进活动驱动网络中的进化疫苗接种博弈。

An evolutionary vaccination game in the modified activity driven network by considering the closeness.

作者信息

Han Dun, Sun Mei

机构信息

Nonlinear Scientific Research Center, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, PR China.

Levich Institute and Physics Department, City College of New York, New York, NY 10031, USA.

出版信息

Physica A. 2016 Feb 1;443:49-57. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2015.09.073. Epub 2015 Sep 28.

Abstract

In this paper, we explore an evolutionary vaccination game in the modified activity driven network by considering the closeness. We set a closeness parameter which is used to describe the way of connection between two individuals. The simulation results show that the closeness may have an active role in weakening both the spreading of epidemic and the vaccination. Besides, when vaccination is not allowed, the final recovered density increases with the value of the ratio of the infection rate to the recovery rate . However, when vaccination is allowed the final density of recovered individual first increases and then decreases with the value of . Two variables are designed to identify the relation between the individuals' activities and their states. The results draw that both recovered and vaccinated frequency increase with the increase of the individuals' activities. Meanwhile, the immune fee has less impact on the individuals' vaccination than the closeness. While the is in a certain range, with the increase of the value of , the recovered frequency of the whole crowds reduces. Our results, therefore, reveal the fact that the best of intentions may lead to backfire.

摘要

在本文中,我们通过考虑接近度,在改进的活动驱动网络中探索一种进化疫苗接种博弈。我们设置了一个接近度参数,用于描述两个个体之间的连接方式。模拟结果表明,接近度可能在减弱流行病传播和疫苗接种方面都发挥积极作用。此外,当不允许接种疫苗时,最终康复密度随感染率与康复率的比值增加而增加。然而,当允许接种疫苗时,康复个体的最终密度随该比值先增加后减少。设计了两个变量来确定个体活动与其状态之间的关系。结果表明,康复频率和接种频率都随个体活动的增加而增加。同时,免疫费用对个体接种的影响小于接近度。当该比值在一定范围内时,随着其值的增加,整个人群的康复频率降低。因此,我们的结果揭示了好心可能办坏事这一事实。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ff8b/7134395/636b20a8ce9a/gr1.jpg

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