Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2020 Oct;29(10):3048-3058. doi: 10.1177/0962280220915737. Epub 2020 Apr 16.
We provide methods to estimate the confidence interval for the difference between two relative risks. Letting , , and be the probabilities of an event in three groups (i.e. control, treatment 1, treatment 2), our methods estimate a confidence interval for = / - /. We highlight that our methods can handle small sample sizes, covariates, and study populations from multiple strata. We specifically developed these methods for vaccine trials to estimate the difference between two vaccine efficacies, where VE = 1 - /, VE = 1 - / and = VE - VE. We showcase our methods by using interim data from one of these trials to suggest that one dose of the human papillomavirus vaccine may be as efficacious as two doses of the vaccine.
我们提供了一种估计两种相对风险差异置信区间的方法。设 、 、 为三组(即对照组、治疗 1 组、治疗 2 组)中某事件的概率,我们的方法可以估计 = / - / 的置信区间。我们强调,我们的方法可以处理小样本量、协变量和来自多个层的研究人群。我们特别为疫苗试验开发了这些方法,以估计两种疫苗效力之间的差异,其中 VE = 1 - / ,VE = 1 - / 和 = VE - VE。我们使用来自其中一项试验的中期数据展示了我们的方法,该方法表明一剂人乳头瘤病毒疫苗可能与两剂疫苗同样有效。