Department of Oncology, Laboratory of Experimental Oncology (LEO), KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Department of General Medical Oncology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; Department of Geriatric Medicine, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
J Geriatr Oncol. 2020 Jul;11(6):926-936. doi: 10.1016/j.jgo.2020.03.017. Epub 2020 Apr 16.
We aimed to determine the prognostic value of baseline Health-Related Quality Of Life (HRQOL) and geriatric assessment (GA) to predict three-month mortality in older patients with cancer undergoing treatment.
Logistic regressions analysed HRQOL, as measured with the EORTC Global Health Status (GHS) scale, and geriatric information prognostic for early mortality controlling for oncology variables. The assessment was established with the odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI) and level of significance set at p < 0.05. Discriminative power was evaluated with area under the curve (AUC).
In total, 6769 patients were included in the study, of whom 1259 (18.60%) died at three months. Our model showed higher odds of early death for patients with lower HRQOL (GHS, OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.98-0.99; p < 0.001), a geriatric risk profile (G8 Screening Tool, 1.94, 1.14-3.29; p = 0.014), cognitive decline (Mini Mental State Examination, 1.41, 1.15-1.72; p = 0.001), being at risk for malnutrition (Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form, 1.54, 1.21-1.98; p = 0.001), fatigue (Visual Analogue Scale for Fatigue, 1.45, 1.16-1.82; p = 0.012) and comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity index, 1.23, 1.02-1.49; p = 0.033). Additionally, older age, poor ECOG PS and being male increased the odds of early death, although the magnitude differed depending on tumor site and stage, and treatment (all p < 0.05). Predictive accuracy increased with 3.7% when including HRQOL and GA in the model.
The results suggest that, in addition to traditional clinical measures, HRQOL and GA provide additional prognostic information for early death, but the odds differ by patient and tumor characteristics.
我们旨在确定基线健康相关生活质量(HRQOL)和老年评估(GA)的预后价值,以预测接受治疗的老年癌症患者的三个月死亡率。
使用 EORTC 全球健康状况(GHS)量表对 HRQOL 进行逻辑回归分析,并对肿瘤学变量进行控制,以预测早期死亡的老年信息。评估采用优势比(OR)、95%置信区间(CI)和显著性水平 p<0.05。采用曲线下面积(AUC)评估鉴别力。
共纳入 6769 例患者,其中 1259 例(18.60%)在三个月内死亡。我们的模型显示,HRQOL 较低(GHS,OR 0.98,95%CI 0.98-0.99;p<0.001)、老年风险特征(G8 筛查工具,1.94,1.14-3.29;p=0.014)、认知功能下降(简易精神状态检查,1.41,1.15-1.72;p=0.001)、营养不良风险(简易营养评估-短表,1.54,1.21-1.98;p=0.001)、疲劳(疲劳视觉模拟量表,1.45,1.16-1.82;p=0.012)和合并症(Charlson 合并症指数,1.23,1.02-1.49;p=0.033)的患者死亡风险更高。此外,年龄较大、ECOG PS 较差和男性患者死亡风险增加,尽管因肿瘤部位和分期以及治疗方法不同,风险幅度有所差异(均 p<0.05)。将 HRQOL 和 GA 纳入模型后,预测准确性提高了 3.7%。
结果表明,除了传统的临床指标外,HRQOL 和 GA 为早期死亡提供了额外的预后信息,但患者和肿瘤特征的几率不同。