Novartis Ireland Limited, Dublin, Ireland.
Novartis Pharma, Basel, AG, Switzerland.
Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2020 Apr 16;15:787-797. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S247156. eCollection 2020.
Exacerbations drive outcomes and costs in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). While patient-level (micro) simulation cost-effectiveness models have been developed that include exacerbations, such models are complex. We developed a novel, exacerbation-based model to assess the cost-effectiveness of indacaterol/glycopyrronium (IND/GLY) versus salmeterol/fluticasone (SFC) in COPD, using a Markov structure as a simplification of a previously validated microsimulation model.
The Markov model included three health states: infrequent or frequent exacerbator (IE or FE; ≤1 or ≥2 moderate/severe exacerbations in prior 12 months, respectively), or death. The model used data from the FLAME study and was run over a 10-year horizon. Cycle length was 1 year, after which patients remained in the same health state or transitioned to another. Analysis was conducted from a Swedish payer's perspective (Swedish healthcare costs, converted into Euros), with incremental costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) calculated (discounted 3% annually).
At all post-baseline timepoints, IND/GLY was associated with more patients in the IE health state and fewer patients in the FE and dead states relative to SFC. Over a 10-year period, IND/GLY was associated with a cost saving of €1,887/patient, an incremental benefit of 0.142 QALYs, and an addition of 0.057 life-years, compared with SFC.
This Markov model represents a novel cost-effectiveness analysis for COPD, with simpler methodology than prior microsimulation models, while retaining exacerbations as drivers of disease progression. In patients with COPD with a history of exacerbations in the previous year, IND/GLY is a cost-effective treatment option compared with SFC.
在慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)中,加重会导致结局和成本的变化。虽然已经开发了包含加重在内的患者层面(微观)模拟成本效益模型,但这些模型较为复杂。我们开发了一种新的基于加重的模型,以评估茚达特罗/格隆溴铵(IND/GLY)与沙美特罗/氟替卡松(SFC)在 COPD 中的成本效益,该模型使用 Markov 结构作为之前验证的微观模拟模型的简化。
Markov 模型包括三种健康状态:非频繁或频繁加重者(IE 或 FE;分别在前 12 个月内发生 1 或 2 次以上中度/重度加重)或死亡。该模型使用了 FLAME 研究的数据,研究期限为 10 年。周期长度为 1 年,之后患者保持在相同的健康状态或转变为另一种健康状态。分析是从瑞典支付者的角度进行的(瑞典医疗保健费用,转换为欧元),并计算了增量成本和质量调整生命年(QALYs)(每年贴现 3%)。
在所有基线后时间点,与 SFC 相比,IND/GLY 与更多的 IE 健康状态患者相关,而与更少的 FE 和死亡状态患者相关。在 10 年期间,与 SFC 相比,IND/GLY 与每位患者节省了 1887 欧元的成本,增加了 0.142 QALY,增加了 0.057 个生命年。
与之前的微观模拟模型相比,该 Markov 模型代表了一种新的 COPD 成本效益分析方法,其方法更简单,同时保留了加重作为疾病进展的驱动因素。对于上一年有加重史的 COPD 患者,与 SFC 相比,IND/GLY 是一种更具成本效益的治疗选择。