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男孩偏好与生育决策:来自韩国时空变化的证据。

Son Preference and Fertility Decisions: Evidence From Spatiotemporal Variation in Korea.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Korea University, 145 Anam Ro, Seongbuk Gu, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

Demography. 2020 Jun;57(3):927-951. doi: 10.1007/s13524-020-00875-7.

Abstract

Using Korean data, this study investigates whether son-favoring ideas or the preference for sons affect fertility decisions. Son-favoring fertility behavior in Korea is of interest because the sex ratio at birth has recovered to a natural level after having been very skewed. To isolate the effects of the preference for sons from the effects of the surrounding environment, we compare the fertility behavior of individuals living in the same region but who were born in different regions or years. Exploiting the male-female gap in educational achievement at the parents' time and place of birth as exogenous variation in the 2000 Census Korea 2% sample, we find that the strength of son preference formed at an early age is associated with the strength of son-favoring fertility behavior as adults. Our results indicate that parents are more likely to have a third child if they happen to have only daughters as their first two children. More importantly, this tendency is stronger if parents were born in a spatiotemporal region with more skewed gender gap in educational investment. These findings are robust against various alternative specifications, including endogenous migration issues.

摘要

本研究利用韩国数据,探讨了重男轻女思想或男孩偏好是否会影响生育决策。韩国的男孩偏好生育行为很有意思,因为在出生性别比非常偏斜之后,现在已经恢复到自然水平。为了将男孩偏好的影响与周围环境的影响隔离开来,我们比较了居住在同一地区但出生在不同地区或年份的个体的生育行为。我们利用父母出生地和出生时的性别教育成就差距作为 2000 年韩国人口普查 2%样本中的外生变化,发现年轻时形成的男孩偏好的强弱与成年后男孩偏好生育行为的强弱有关。我们的研究结果表明,如果父母的前两个孩子都是女孩,那么他们更有可能生第三个孩子。更重要的是,如果父母出生在教育投资性别差距更大的时空区域,这种趋势就会更强。这些发现对各种替代规范都具有稳健性,包括内生移民问题。

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