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流感:利用1993年至2015年全国住院患者样本数据库的全国趋势

Influenza: National Trends Using the National Inpatient Sample Database from 1993 to 2015.

作者信息

Museedi Abdulrahman S, Nashawi Mouhamed, Ghali Abdullah, Alameri Aws, Alshami Abbas, Nathanson Robert

机构信息

Internal Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, USA.

Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, USA.

出版信息

Cureus. 2020 Apr 16;12(4):e7684. doi: 10.7759/cureus.7684.

Abstract

Background There is a significant impact of influenza on individuals, families, and societies both economically and clinically. This significant impact is a result of hospital admissions, medication expenses, side effects, secondary bacterial infections, and more days off from work or other forms of reduced productivity for the patients or their caretakers. Our objective is to present the trends in the rate of hospital discharges per 100,000 population from the years 1993 through 2015, the mean age, and the inpatient mortality rate. Methods This is a retrospective study utilizing the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 1993 through 2015. Discharges due to influenza from 1993 to 2015 were identified, and the rate of discharges per 100,000 population, inpatient mortality, and mean age of discharged patients were trended. Linear regression was used to assess if the deviation from horizontal was statistically significant for the trends of the rate of discharges per 100,000 population, mean age, and percentage of the inpatient mortality. Result The mean age and inpatient mortality vary from year to year. The linear regression analysis for the trends was not statistically significant, and for the percentage of the inpatient mortality, the deviation from horizontal was not significant, P-value 0.75 and F-value: 0.09. Similarly, for the mean age, the deviation from horizontal was not significant with a P-value of 0.97 and an F-value of 0.001. However, the linear regression analysis for the rate of discharges per 100,000 population was remarkable for a statistically significant deviation from the horizontal with a P-value of 0.0002 and an F value of 19.5. Conclusion Recent advancements in influenza detection have made the detection feasible, quick, and cost-effective. However, the role of these advanced modalities on the outcome is still controversial. Our analysis revealed a significant increase in the rate of discharges due to influenza, but there was no significant change in the parentage of the inpatient mortality over the years between 1993 - 2015. Advanced influenza virus detection tests are now recommended in both outpatient (including emergency department) and inpatient admissions. The recent increase in inpatient admissions could be due to better detection modalities. However, no change in the percentage of inpatient mortality makes the impact of these detection tests on the outcome questionable. A further prospective study is warranted to assess the impact of these tests on the outcome.

摘要

背景

流感对个人、家庭和社会在经济和临床方面均有重大影响。这种重大影响源于住院治疗、药物费用、副作用、继发性细菌感染,以及患者或其护理人员更多的工作日缺勤或其他形式的生产力下降。我们的目标是呈现1993年至2015年期间每10万人口的医院出院率、平均年龄和住院死亡率的趋势。

方法

这是一项回顾性研究,利用了1993年至2015年的国家住院样本(NIS)。确定了1993年至2015年因流感导致的出院情况,并对每10万人口的出院率、住院死亡率和出院患者的平均年龄进行了趋势分析。采用线性回归评估每10万人口出院率、平均年龄和住院死亡率百分比的趋势与水平值的偏差是否具有统计学意义。

结果

平均年龄和住院死亡率逐年变化。趋势的线性回归分析无统计学意义,对于住院死亡率百分比,与水平值的偏差不显著,P值为0.75,F值为0.09。同样,对于平均年龄,与水平值的偏差不显著,P值为0.97,F值为0.001。然而,每10万人口出院率的线性回归分析显示与水平值有显著的统计学偏差,P值为0.0002,F值为19.5。

结论

流感检测的最新进展使检测变得可行、快速且具有成本效益。然而,这些先进方法对结果的作用仍存在争议。我们的分析显示因流感导致的出院率显著增加,但在1993 - 2015年期间,住院死亡率的百分比没有显著变化。现在建议在门诊(包括急诊科)和住院患者入院时都进行先进的流感病毒检测。近期住院患者入院人数的增加可能是由于检测方法更好。然而,住院死亡率百分比没有变化使得这些检测对结果的影响值得怀疑。有必要进行进一步的前瞻性研究来评估这些检测对结果的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3091/7233507/db163a5339c2/cureus-0012-00000007684-i01.jpg

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