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美国季节性流感负担的年度估算:加强流感监测和准备的工具。

Annual estimates of the burden of seasonal influenza in the United States: A tool for strengthening influenza surveillance and preparedness.

机构信息

Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Battelle Memorial Institute, Atlanta, GA, USA.

出版信息

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2018 Jan;12(1):132-137. doi: 10.1111/irv.12486. Epub 2018 Feb 14.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Estimates of influenza disease burden are broadly useful for public health, helping national and local authorities monitor epidemiologic trends, plan and allocate resources, and promote influenza vaccination. Historically, estimates of the burden of seasonal influenza in the United States, focused mainly on influenza-related mortality and hospitalization, were generated every few years. Since the 2010-2011 influenza season, annual US influenza burden estimates have been generated and expanded to include estimates of influenza-related outpatient medical visits and symptomatic illness in the community.

METHODS

We used routinely collected surveillance data, outbreak field investigations, and proportions of people seeking health care from survey results to estimate the number of illnesses, medical visits, hospitalizations, and deaths due to influenza during six influenza seasons (2010-2011 through 2015-2016).

RESULTS

We estimate that the number of influenza-related illnesses that have occurred during influenza season has ranged from 9.2 million to 35.6 million, including 140 000 to 710 000 influenza-related hospitalizations.

DISCUSSION

These annual efforts have strengthened public health communications products and supported timely assessment of the impact of vaccination through estimates of illness and hospitalizations averted. Additionally, annual estimates of influenza burden have highlighted areas where disease surveillance needs improvement to better support public health decision making for seasonal influenza epidemics as well as future pandemics.

摘要

背景

流感疾病负担的评估对于公共卫生具有广泛的意义,有助于国家和地方当局监测流行病学趋势、规划和分配资源,并促进流感疫苗接种。历史上,美国季节性流感负担的评估主要集中在与流感相关的死亡率和住院率上,每几年进行一次。自 2010-2011 年流感季节以来,每年都会生成美国流感负担的评估,并扩展到包括与流感相关的门诊医疗就诊和社区症状性疾病的评估。

方法

我们使用常规收集的监测数据、暴发现场调查以及从调查结果中寻求医疗保健的人群比例,来估计六个流感季节(2010-2011 年至 2015-2016 年)期间因流感导致的疾病、医疗就诊、住院和死亡人数。

结果

我们估计,流感季节期间发生的流感相关疾病数量范围为 920 万至 3560 万例,包括 14 万至 71 万例与流感相关的住院病例。

讨论

这些年度努力增强了公共卫生传播产品,并通过对避免的疾病和住院的评估,支持了对疫苗接种效果的及时评估。此外,年度流感负担评估突出了疾病监测需要改进的领域,以更好地支持季节性流感流行和未来大流行期间的公共卫生决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8366/5818346/9acb01336bbb/IRV-12-132-g001.jpg

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