Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Modeling and Simulation, Amgen Inc., Thousand Oaks, California, USA.
Seattle Genetics, Bothell Washington, Massachusetts, USA.
Pharm Res. 2020 May 21;37(6):102. doi: 10.1007/s11095-020-02839-3.
To model absolute neutrophil count (ANC) suppression in response to acute radiation (AR) exposure and evaluate ANC time course as a predictor of overall survival (OS) in response to AR exposure with or without treatment with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor in nonhuman primates.
Source data were obtained from two pivotal studies conducted in rhesus macaques exposed to 750 cGy of whole body irradiation on day 0 that received either placebo, daily filgrastim, or pegfilgrastim (days 1 and 8 after irradiation). Animals were observed for 60 days with ANC measured every 1 to 2 days. The population model of ANC response to AR and the link between observed ANC time course and OS consisted of three submodels characterizing injury due to radiation, granulopoiesis, and a time-to-event model of OS.
The ANC response model accurately described the effects of AR exposure on the duration of neutropenia. ANC was a valid surrogate for survival because it explained 76% (95% CI, 41%-97%) and 73.2% (95% CI, 38.7%-99.9%) of the treatment effect for filgrastim and pegfilgrastim, respectively.
The current model linking radiation injury to neutropenia and ANC time course to OS can be used as a basis for translating these effects to humans.
建立中性粒细胞绝对计数(ANC)对急性辐射(AR)暴露反应的模型,并评估 ANC 时间过程作为 AR 暴露后总生存(OS)的预测因子,包括 AR 暴露后有无粒细胞集落刺激因子(G-CSF)治疗。
来源于在恒河猴中进行的两项关键研究的数据,这些猴子在第 0 天接受 750cGy 全身照射,分别接受安慰剂、每日非格司亭或培非格司亭(照射后第 1 天和第 8 天)。动物观察 60 天,每隔 1-2 天测量 ANC。 ANC 对 AR 反应的群体模型和观察到的 ANC 时间过程与 OS 之间的联系由三个子模型组成,这些子模型描述了辐射损伤、粒细胞生成和 OS 的时间事件模型。
ANC 反应模型准确描述了 AR 暴露对中性粒细胞减少持续时间的影响。ANC 是生存的有效替代指标,因为它分别解释了非格司亭和培非格司亭治疗效果的 76%(95%CI,41%-97%)和 73.2%(95%CI,38.7%-99.9%)。
将目前将辐射损伤与中性粒细胞减少和 ANC 时间过程与 OS 联系起来的模型,可以作为将这些影响转化为人类的基础。