Grevenstein Dennis, Nikendei Christoph, Nagy Ede
Psychological Institute, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Department of General Internal Medicine and Psychosomatics, Center for Psychosocial Medicine, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Subst Use Misuse. 2020;55(11):1834-1845. doi: 10.1080/10826084.2020.1766504. Epub 2020 May 25.
A number of correlates to adolescent substance use have been shown, yet their unique predictive influence is unclear. We investigated the incremental validity of demographics, family background, school variables, risk perception, parental alcohol attitudes, age of first alcohol use, peer group influence, and behavioral variables as they concurrently predicted last month alcohol use, binge drinking, and drunkenness experience frequency. Hierarchical multiple regression analyses in a sample of =743 adolescents (mean age = 15.01). All predictors explained 26-40% of the total variance. Alcohol use was predicted by age, gender, having two working parents, academic family background, relationship to parents, relative risk perception, parental acceptance of alcohol use, age of first use, talking about positive aspects of alcohol, normality of alcohol use among peers, time spent with friends, and going out to clubs. Binge drinking was predicted by age, working parents, school problems, relative risk perception, parental alcohol acceptance, age of first use, talking about positive aspects of alcohol, time spent with friends, and going out to clubs. Drunkenness was predicted by age, relationship to parents, school problems, relative risk perception, age of first use, talking about positive aspects of alcohol, and going out to clubs. Researchers need to take the complexity of adolescent substance use into account when designing studies and interventions. Relative risk perception emerged as the strongest (positive) predictor, indicating that adolescents are able to rather accurately assess their own risk and risk awareness alone does not suffice to engage in protective behavior.
已有研究表明青少年物质使用存在一些相关因素,但其独特的预测影响尚不清楚。我们调查了人口统计学、家庭背景、学校变量、风险认知、父母对酒精的态度、首次饮酒年龄、同伴群体影响和行为变量在同时预测上个月酒精使用、暴饮和醉酒经历频率时的增量效度。对743名青少年(平均年龄 = 15.01岁)样本进行分层多元回归分析。所有预测因素解释了总方差的26%至40%。酒精使用可由年龄、性别、父母双方都有工作、学术家庭背景、与父母的关系、相对风险认知、父母对酒精使用的接受程度、首次使用年龄、谈论酒精的积极方面、同伴中酒精使用的常态、与朋友相处的时间以及去俱乐部等因素预测。暴饮可由年龄、父母有工作、学校问题、相对风险认知、父母对酒精的接受程度、首次使用年龄、谈论酒精的积极方面、与朋友相处的时间以及去俱乐部等因素预测。醉酒可由年龄、与父母的关系、学校问题、相对风险认知、首次使用年龄、谈论酒精的积极方面以及去俱乐部等因素预测。研究人员在设计研究和干预措施时需要考虑青少年物质使用的复杂性。相对风险认知成为最强的(积极)预测因素,表明青少年能够相当准确地评估自己的风险,仅风险意识不足以促使其采取保护行为。