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心脏移植受者住院死亡率的术后血清乳酸水平预测。

Postoperative Serum Lactate Levels for In-Hospital Mortality Prediction Among Heart Transplant Recipients.

机构信息

Department of Cardiovascular Surgery and Transplantology, John Paul II Hospital, Cracow, Poland.

Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Cracow, Poland.

出版信息

Ann Transplant. 2020 May 26;25:e920288. doi: 10.12659/AOT.920288.

DOI:10.12659/AOT.920288
PMID:32451373
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7279520/
Abstract

BACKGROUND Hyperlactatemia is a common phenomenon following cardiac surgeries and is associated with prolonged ICU stay and higher morbidity and mortality rates, but such analyses have never focused on patients undergoing heart transplantation (HTX), in whom hyperlactatemia defined with the traditional threshold is observed in nearly every individual. The present study aimed to assess the prognostic value and clinical usefulness of postoperative serum lactate level measurements for in-hospital mortality prediction following HTX. MATERIAL AND METHODS Forty-six consecutive patients who underwent HTX in the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery and Transplantology between 2010 and 2015 were enrolled into a retrospective analysis. Serum lactate level measurements within the first 48 h after HTX were obtained from arterial blood gas analyses, that were routinely conducted every 6 h. Lactate clearance was determined for each patient individually throughout 3 different time frames: the first 24-h (Lac clear 0-24) and second 24-h period (Lac clear 24-48), and the first 48 h after surgery (Lac clear 0-48). RESULTS The ICU admission serum lactate levels differed between the deceased and survivors (7.6 vs. 4.3 mmol/L; p=0.000). Among all tested postoperative lactate level measurements, only the measurement taken upon ICU admission predicted in-hospital mortality (OR 1.94 95% CI [1.09-3.43]; p=0.024). The receiving operating characteristic (ROC) curve for in-hospital mortality was constructed for ICU admission measurement, with the optimal cut-off point estimated at 7.0 mmol/L. CONCLUSIONS Serum lactate level measurement upon ICU admission can be used as a predictive parameter for in-hospital mortality among heart transplant recipients. Values greater than 7.0 mmol/L can predict in-hospital mortality with 90% accuracy.

摘要

背景

心脏手术后出现高乳酸血症是一种常见现象,与 ICU 住院时间延长以及更高的发病率和死亡率相关,但此类分析从未关注过接受心脏移植(HTX)的患者,在这些患者中,几乎每个人都存在传统阈值定义的高乳酸血症。本研究旨在评估术后血清乳酸水平测量对 HTX 后住院内死亡率的预测价值和临床实用性。

材料和方法

回顾性分析了 2010 年至 2015 年期间在心血管外科和移植科接受 HTX 的 46 例连续患者。从动脉血气分析中获得了 HTX 后 48 小时内的血清乳酸水平测量值,该分析每 6 小时常规进行一次。为每位患者分别确定了 3 个不同时间段内的乳酸清除率:前 24 小时(Lac clear 0-24)和后 24 小时(Lac clear 24-48)以及手术后的前 48 小时(Lac clear 0-48)。

结果

入住 ICU 时的血清乳酸水平在死亡者和幸存者之间存在差异(7.6 与 4.3 mmol/L;p=0.000)。在所有测试的术后乳酸水平测量中,只有 ICU 入院时的测量值预测了住院内死亡率(OR 1.94 95%CI [1.09-3.43];p=0.024)。ICU 入院时的测量值构建了住院内死亡率的接受操作特征(ROC)曲线,最佳截断值估计为 7.0 mmol/L。

结论

ICU 入院时的血清乳酸水平测量值可用作 HTX 受者住院内死亡率的预测参数。大于 7.0 mmol/L 的值可以以 90%的准确性预测住院内死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/4c9780efc317/anntransplant-25-e920288-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/3b65e3006776/anntransplant-25-e920288-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/0717d544f630/anntransplant-25-e920288-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/4c9780efc317/anntransplant-25-e920288-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/3b65e3006776/anntransplant-25-e920288-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/0717d544f630/anntransplant-25-e920288-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6a99/7279520/4c9780efc317/anntransplant-25-e920288-g003.jpg

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