Department of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Head Neck. 2020 Jul;42(7):1539-1542. doi: 10.1002/hed.26289. Epub 2020 Jun 1.
In the setting of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the concept of the disease curve has become ubiquitous in medicine and across society. Nevertheless, even among medical specialists, there are common misconception about the curve and how it affects population outcomes. This article provides a simple review of the various population dynamics at play. Principles such as the area under the curve and the threshold of capacity are discussed and simply conceptualized. Understanding the fundamental characteristics of a problem can allow us to see it with more clarity. By the end of the article, the reader will gain an effortless a sense of insight on this topic.
在 2019 冠状病毒病大流行的背景下，疾病曲线的概念在医学和整个社会中已经无处不在。然而，即使是医学专家，对于曲线及其如何影响人群结果也存在一些常见的误解。本文对各种起作用的人群动态进行了简单回顾。讨论并简单概念化了曲线下面积和容量阈值等原则。了解问题的基本特征可以使我们更清楚地看到它。阅读完本文后，读者将轻松地对此主题有更深入的了解。
